American Express (AXP) structure shows financial crisis are coming

American Express Company (Amex), symbol AXP, is an American multinational financial services corporation that specializes in payment cards. Headquartered in New York City, it is one of the most valuable companies in the world and one of the 30 components of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

AXP weekly chart August 2023

We believe that the AXP ended a Great Super Cycle at the peak of 199.55 which we call wave ((I)). From there, started a bearish structure (a), (b), and (c). Wave (a) built a leading diagonal. The first fall reached 155.72 ending wave I. The market rebounded strongly ending wave II at 194.35 and then continued with the bearish movement. We can see from wave II a clear impulse lower to complete wave III at 134.12. Then the wave IV correction ended at 166.06, within the wave I zone thus creating the leading diagonal. Finally, the last leg towards 130.65 ended wave V and wave (a) in October 2022.

In this month the structure of the corrective wave (b) began to develop. To date we see that it has already completed 3 swings higher, and it could have finished the correction of wave (b) without any problem. However, given the price action of markets like the SPX, DAX, and currencies like the dollar, everything points to wave (b) are going to perform a double correction. That is why the first 3 swings up completed the wave “w” at 182.15 and the connector “x” at 146.28. From here we look for 3 more swings up to complete wave “y” and wave (b) above 190.