Ed Ponsi, CTA
FXStreet Contributor
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Summary
Ed Ponsi discussed real-time, interactive technical and fundamental analysis of the Forex markets. View and analyze live charts and news, uncover opportunities for upcoming trades, and answer participant questions during webinar.
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EUR/USD extends losses toward 1.1600 ahead of EU inflation data
EUR/USD extends the decline toward 1.1600 in the European session on Tuesday. The pair remains under pressure as surging energy prices amid the US-Iran war have increased the risks of higher inflation for the Old Continent. The focus is now on the Eurozone preliminary inflation reading for February.
Gold weakens below $5,300 as sustained USD buying counter Middle East tensions
Gold attracts some intraday selling and falls around $100 from the daily top, around the $5,380 area. The US Dollar climbs to a fresh high since January 20 and turns out to be a key factor exerting downward pressure on the commodity. However, concerns about a broader regional conflict in the Middle East continue to weigh on investors' sentiment and underpin demand for the traditional safe-haven bullion.
GBP/USD drops back toward three-month lows below 1.3350
GBP/USD is back in the red, accelerating its downside toward the three-month lows of 1.3315 in European trading on Tuesday. The ongoing escalation in the Iran war, combined with rising Oil prices, weighs negatively on the higher-yielding Pound Sterling as the US Dollar preserves the previous upside.
Stellar risks deeper losses as derivatives metrics turn negative
Stellar is trading red below $0.16 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight recovery the previous day. Weakening derivatives data caps the recovery, while an unfavorable technical outlook projects a deeper correction for the XLM token in the upcoming days.
The market is not panicking it is repricing the probability distribution of Oil and time
At the end of the day, markets do not trade morality or geopolitics. They trade transmission channels. And the only channel that truly matters in this maelstrom runs through the price of energy and the time value of money.
Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, March 3:
The US Dollar continues to gather strength against its rivals following Monday's bullish action, with the USD Index fluctuating at its highest level since late January above 98.80 in the European morning on Tuesday. The European economic calendar will feature preliminary February Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices data later in the day. Nevertheless, market participants will remain focused on news surrounding the crisis in the Middle East and pay close attention to comments from central bankers.