How To Identify Fresh Supply and Demand Levels in The Forex Market

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

The USD/JPY pair loses ground to near 157.50 during the early Asian session on Monday. The prospect of further US Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in 2026 weighs on the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. Financial markets are likely to trade in a subdued mood as investors position themselves ahead of the long holiday period. The US Chicago Fed National Activity Index report for September is due later on Monday.  

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

Light agenda in the next couple of weeks before 2026 begins with a bang. US data to dominate: ISM PMIs, GDP and NFP reports, plus Fed minutes. UK GDP, Tokyo CPI and Eurozone and Australian CPI also on tap.