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Summary

Who has expected that by 2014 the population of Russia will withdraw in panic their bank ruble deposits? Is it a psychological return of 2008? In current webinar all fundamental factors, influencing the activity decrease in banking sector of Russia will be considered. We shall analyze the dynamics of basic indicators: monetary policy of Central Bank, lending volumes, consumer deposits, real disposable income, inflation, etc. A connection between geopolitical risks, sanctions and expectations of population will be stated. An investment portfolio of Russian banking stocks and Russian ruble shall be developed on the basis of considered tendencies: Sberbank (SBER), VTB24 (VTBR) and RUR. First two actives are traded at London stock. The weights of stock-exchange portfolio are to be optimized on the basis of CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing) model with account of return/risk relation. An analysis of the portfolio historical prices will be conducted with use of PCI GeWorko technology.
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