Why trading strategies should always consider changing market conditions


Changing markets can disrupt even the most well-laid plans. Here’s how to adjust and come out on the other side.

Most trading strategies are a roadmap that helps traders manage risk while setting goals they’d like to achieve. Some are very specific: defining entry and exit points, stop out and take profit ranges, specific assets to be traded, timeframes, and the amount dedicated to each trade or position. Other strategies are a bit more general, focusing more broadly on asset classes (i.e., currencies, metals, commodities, etc.) and their overall profit-to-loss ratio. 

Almost all strategies have something in common, though. No matter how good your positioning is, you should always adapt your trading to changing market conditions, and Exness can help you do that. With tight and stable spreads, advanced trading tools, and fast execution, you’ll definitely have an edge. Here are several other factors to consider to ensure your strategy remains effective when markets are moving.   

Flexibility is key

Every trader needs the ability to quickly adjust and adapt when markets are active. This skill helps them avoid unnecessary market exposure and take advantage of emerging market trends. Flexibility also allows investors or traders to protect their open trades by closing them, opening counterbalancing positions, or mitigating negative movements. This strategy, commonly known as "hedging," is especially beneficial in volatile markets.

For example, currencies experience significant price swings, which certain strategies like scalping see as beneficial and even use to their advantage. These movements may become unpredictable or amplified by market uncertainty, making it much riskier to act on. In this situation, a flexible trader might avoid a price movement that they would normally use as an opportunity. A rigid strategy, or rather a “rigid” trader, would likely still execute the trade irrespective of the current conditions. 

Using tools like the Exness Trading Calculator can help traders make more educated and strategic decisions while becoming more flexible when necessary.

Historical data is valuable when you’re adaptable

Most strategies use past data, repeating chart patterns, or technical indicator signals, which are all based on historical price performance. These are extremely valuable insights, but as even the most capable technical trader will tell you, there is no such thing as an absolute solution on the markets. This is why most technical traders use a combination of complementary technical indicators to develop and deploy their strategies. 

Although technical traders depend on historical data, they never ignore changing markets and follow that data blindly. Strategies that ignore market conditions for the sake of strictly following historical data will likely fail.

Not managing market exposure

Managing market exposure, also known as risk management, should always be included in a trading strategy. Although this is a widely known fact, it is one of the most overlooked aspects of trading. Even more perplexingly, not managing market exposure is one of the most frequently cited reasons why trading strategies fail. 

At a very low level, there are multiple ways to manage risk, one of which is to use stop loss or take profit orders. The first closes an open trade when it reaches a maximum loss, and the second type of order closes a profitable trade. Stop loss protects your account and other open trades from “runaway” losses, while take profit protects your profitable trade from a potential reversal.        

Exness offers advanced tools, like stop loss and take profit orders, automatic trading, and real-time analytics, which enable its traders to manage their risk effectively and adjust and adapt to changing market conditions. 

Trading with emotion, and not following your plan

After refining your strategy by incrementally optimizing it, you might think the hardest part is behind you. Well, not really: your strategy is only useful when you stick to it. One of the most frequently noted reasons strategies and traders fail is emotional trading. This phrase describes any impulsive trading behavior motivated by negative or detrimental emotions. 

Overconfidence after a long winning streak, greed, which causes traders to keep positions open until the very last moment, opening larger trades or overleveraging accounts, and revenge trading (i.e., trading to recover capital after a series of losses) can have catastrophic results, which can be amplified by rapidly changing market conditions. 

Diversification is key

Institutions and organizations often spread their investments across different asset classes and markets because this averages out losses and allows other instruments that are negatively correlated to counteract price drops.   

When markets are less volatile, diversification does the opposite, i.e., it may bolster earnings if a certain asset or investment is moving sluggishly. A great example of this is gold, currencies, and stocks (or equities). Gold usually moves in the opposite direction to stocks and currencies. So when gold is going down, that is counterbalanced if a portfolio has currency or stock positions, and the inverse scenario as well. 

How to trade bullish and bearish markets

Markets trending upwards are known as bullish, and those trending downwards are usually called bearish. Regardless of the direction the market is moving, ensure that the trend is confirmed by using a combination of technical indicators, as sometimes new trends are only corrections.

Another good idea is to set a stop loss order, especially when markets are volatile, at the level of market exposure you are comfortable with relative to the expected return. 

Keep working on your strategy

Traders should approach their strategy as a living and constantly evolving part of their market activity. A good strategy is tested and repeatable to a certain extent, and it manages risk effectively. Of course, education, knowledge, and data can go a long way when you are trading, so never stop browsing financial media and social channels for any news or updates.

If you have any questions about trading or the analysis tools Exness offers, head over to the website.
 


Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, nears 1.1700

EUR/USD trims gains, nears 1.1700

The EUR/USD pair eases in the American afternoon and approaches the 1.1700 mark. The pair surged earlier in the day after the ECB left interest rates unchanged and upwardly revised inflation and growth figures. The US CPI rose 2.7% YoY in November, nearing Fed’s goal.

GBP/USD returns to 1.3370 after BoE, US CPI

GBP/USD returns to 1.3370 after BoE, US CPI

The GBP/USD pair jumped towards the 1.3440 early in the day, following the BoE decision to cut rates, and US CPI data, which was much softer than anticipated. The US Dollar, however, managed to regain the ground lost during US trading hours.

When is the BoJ rate decision and how could it affect USD/JPY?

When is the BoJ rate decision and how could it affect USD/JPY?

The Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision between 03.30 and 05.00 GMT, followed by Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference at 06.30 GMT. USD/JPY trades on a negative note on the day in the lead up to the BoJ interest rate decision. The pair loses ground after data showed a softer-than-expected rise in US Consumer Price Index inflation. 


Editors’ Picks

When is the BoJ rate decision and how could it affect USD/JPY?

When is the BoJ rate decision and how could it affect USD/JPY?

The Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision between 03.30 and 05.00 GMT, followed by Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference at 06.30 GMT. USD/JPY trades on a negative note on the day in the lead up to the BoJ interest rate decision. The pair loses ground after data showed a softer-than-expected rise in US Consumer Price Index inflation. 

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.6600 amid mixed cues

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.6600 amid mixed cues

AUD/USD steadies above 0.6600 during the Asian session following the previous day's two-way price swings and a positive close. Against the backdrop of the RBA's hawkish stance, a positive risk tone is seen acting as a tailwind for the Aussie. The US Dollar, on the other hand, reverses the softer US CPI-led slide and stands firm near the top end of its weekly range, acting as headwind for the currency pair amid China's economic woes.

Gold edges lower despite Fed rate cut hopes on cooling US inflation

Gold edges lower despite Fed rate cut hopes on cooling US inflation

Gold price declines to below $4,350 during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. The precious metal edges lower due to some profit-taking and weak long liquidation from shorter-term futures traders. 

 

Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP face sharp volatility as US posts lowest inflation rate in years

Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP face sharp volatility as US posts lowest inflation rate in years

The latest inflation report released on Thursday in the United States sparked a wave of volatility in the crypto markets. The US Consumer Price Index rose 2.7% YoY in November, below forecasts of 3.1%, and lower than September's 3.0% reading, according to the Bureau of Labour Statistics.

Bank of England cuts rates in heavily divided decision

Bank of England cuts rates in heavily divided decision

The Bank of England has cut rates to 3.75%, but the decision was more hawkish than expected, leaving market rates higher and sterling slightly stronger. It's a close call whether the Bank cuts again in February or March.

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