Giles Coghlan LLB, Lth, MA
Financial Source
This week's economic calendar is packed with potential trading opportunities. We start off in Canada, where CPI data on Tuesday could set the tone for currency movements. Traders should watch for figures that come in below expectations, signaling that rate cuts could be on the horizon by the Bank of Canada. Such an outcome could spur a bullish scenario for the USDCAD pair, presenting a prime trading opportunity.
Moving across the Atlantic, the focus shifts to the UK with labour data also due on Tuesday. If the numbers are weaker than anticipated, it could provide a solid rationale for selling the pound. This is particularly pertinent in light of recent comments from Governor Bailey, who hinted at the possibility of forthcoming rate cuts. The pound's response to this data will be critical, and traders will need to be agile in their strategies.
Governor Bailey is slated to speak later in the week, and his remarks could further influence GBP trading dynamics. His speech is eagerly anticipated as it might clarify or adjust market expectations regarding the UK's monetary policy path.
Down under, Australian employment data will also capture the market's attention. With copper prices currently experiencing an uptick—potentially boosting the Australian economy—strong job numbers could reinforce the AUD. This presents a unique interplay between commodity prices and national economic indicators, which could lead to favourable trading conditions for the Aussie.
The week will wrap up back in the UK with the release of retail sales data. The implications of this report could be amplified by the outcomes of the earlier CPI release and Governor Bailey's subsequent comments. Depending on these factors, the retail sales data could either confirm the week's trends or introduce new dynamics, offering additional trading opportunities.
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Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD trims gains, hovers around 1.1900 post-US data
EUR/USD trades slightly on the back foot around the 1.1900 region in a context dominated by the resurgence of some buying interest around the US Dollar on turnaround Tuesday. Looking at the US docket, Retail Sales disappointed expectations in December, while the ADP 4-Week Average came in at 6.5K.
GBP/USD comes under pressure near 1.3680
The better tone in the Greenback hurts the risk-linked complex on Tuesday, prompting GBP/USD to set aside two consecutive days of gains and trade slightly on the defensive below the 1.3700 mark. Investors, in the meantime, keep their attention on key UK data due later in the week.
USD/JPY drops toward 155.00 as focus shifts to US data
USD/JPY meets fresh supply and inches closer toward 155.00 in the Asian session on Tuesday. The Japanese Yen holds the upper hand over the US Dollar after Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi led the ruling Liberal Democratic Party to a historic landslide win and on intervention talks. Traders brace for key US economic data that could offer more clues on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD trims gains, hovers around 1.1900 post-US data
EUR/USD trades slightly on the back foot around the 1.1900 region in a context dominated by the resurgence of some buying interest around the US Dollar on turnaround Tuesday. Looking at the US docket, Retail Sales disappointed expectations in December, while the ADP 4-Week Average came in at 6.5K.
GBP/USD comes under pressure near 1.3680
The better tone in the Greenback hurts the risk-linked complex on Tuesday, prompting GBP/USD to set aside two consecutive days of gains and trade slightly on the defensive below the 1.3700 mark. Investors, in the meantime, keep their attention on key UK data due later in the week.
Gold loses some traction, still above $5,000
Gold faces some selling pressure on Tuesday, surrendering part of its recent two-day advance although managing to keep the trade above the $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The daily pullback in the precious metal comes in response to the modest rebound in the US Dollar, while declining US Treasury yields across the curve seem to limit the downside.
XRP holds $1.40 amid ETF inflows and stable derivatives market
Ripple trades under pressure, with immediate support at $1.40 holding at the time of writing on Tuesday. A recovery attempt from last week’s sell-off to $1.12 stalled at $1.54 on Friday, leading to limited price action between the current support and the resistance.
Dollar drops and stocks rally: The week of reckoning for US economic data
Following a sizeable move lower in US technology Stocks last week, we have witnessed a meaningful recovery unfold. The USD Index is in a concerning position; the monthly price continues to hold the south channel support.
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