In this technical blog we’re going to give you some tips on how to avoid one of the most common traps in Elliott Wave trading. We will try to close you to our strategy, emphasizing importance of trading with the trend.
Many beginner traders believe that spotting formation of a good pattern or clear Elliott wave count on 1 Hour, 30 minutes or even 15 minutes time frame is enough to make good trading decisions. Unfortunately that’s not the case. Trading in that manner leads to many negative trades and missed opportunities, however many traders keep falling in that trap.
At Elliott Wave Forecast, our market experts follow more than 50 global financial instruments and base forecasts on the most clearest structures at any given time. We spot incomplete swings sequences in higher time frames like 4 Hour , daily or even weekly charts and look for potential entries on lower time frames. Patterns in short term are used only to determine potential entry areas so we can go with the flow of the major trend. Before we continue, here’s a short reminder :check out new EWF blogs and Free charts.
We’ll explain more through EURUSD example
The chart below is a 1 Hour Elliott Wave London update of EURUSD from 11.15.2016. The pair has made clear 3 wave Elliott wave bounce from the lows. Second X connector is about to complete at 1.0808-1.0848 ( sell zone).We advised our members to avoid buying the pair and favor the short side.
It’s important to understand that we didn’t base our bearish forecast and sell decision on 1 Hour price structure and we used this time just to determine the inflection area and potential entry zone : 1.808-1.0648. 1 Hour Elliott Wave analysis is only the tip of the iceberg. True essence lies in the deep swing-cycle , distribution and market correlation analysis of the higher time frames. In this case, we look at the daily chart to spot an incomplete bearish sequence from 5.3.2016 peak which was calling for more downside to reach the target area.
EURUSD Weekend Elliott Wave update 11.12.2016
The price is showing incomplete bearish swings sequences in the cycle from the 5.3.2016 peak (1.1617). The decline from the mentioned peak is unfolding as a clear 7 swings structure. It’s suggesting further decline as 7th swing is missing the target area 1.0656-1.0489. Eventually the price reached the mentioned target area, making decline of approximately 300 pips from 1 Hour sell zone 1.808-1.0648.
Our market experts educate members constantly through live sessions, also providing you with money management and trading psychology tips. With us you keep growing not only as an Elliott Wave analyst, but also as a trader.
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Editors’ Picks
USD/JPY rebounds firmly to 150.00 on the expected BoJ rate hike
USD/JPY rallied to test 150.00, as the Japanese Yen tumbled amid a classic 'sell the fact' trading on the hawkish BoJ decision. The BoJ lifted the interest rate by 10 basis points (bps) from -0.1% to 0% for the first time since 2007 and abandoned the YCC framework.
AUD/USD drops toward 0.6500 after RBA's steady policy
AUD/USD is extending losses toward 0.6500 in Asian trading on Tuesday. The Aussie Dollar remains offered after the Reserve Bank of Australia extended the pause while markets digest the less hawkish policy statement ahead of Governor Bullock's press conference.
Gold price flat-lines above one-week low, awaits the crucial Fed decision on Wednesday
Gold price oscillates in a range and is influenced by a combination of diverging forces. Hawkish Fed expectations, elevated US bond yields and a bullish USD cap the upside. Geopolitical risks lend some support to the XAU/USD ahead of the key FOMC meeting.
Bitcoin price shows weakness, but new BTC whales have created solid support at $56,400
Bitcoin price downside momentum continues to gain strength, giving sidelined and late bulls a chance to buy the dip. The market remains focussed on the oncoming halving, expected to kick off the next bull cycle. For the meantime, however, spot BTC ETFs remain the main play in the market.
Lots of tension ahead of this week's Fed decision
Last week, we got a strong round of US economic data accompanied by hotter US inflation reads. The takeaway of course is that there might be a lot more pressure on the Fed to be looking to scale back its rate cut outlook at this week’s meeting.
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