The monthly release of the NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) figures is a highly anticipated moment for all traders. And this is with good cause, because the Non-Farm Payrolls has been historically known to shake up the market place quite a bit. Using a reliable NFP prediction strategy is something that many traders are after.
Just like most other news releases on the economic calendar, traders will use these figures to determine the strength or weakness of the underlying economy. NFP looks specifically at whether the US economy is expanding or contracting, based on the number of jobs added to the labour force. Having a NFP prediction strategy is a good way to be part of this action.
The NFP Prediction Strategy
This particular strategy has been tried and tested at Forex Watchers and Urban Forex. The videos above are two examples of live trading this strategy in a webinar.
The strategy itself is fairly straightforward. Find a correlating group and trade in the direction of the last daily candle. You can either choose to get in before the news is released or after. Both has it's pros and cons. Prior to the news spread are significantly lower, but there's the risk of the news spiking you out. After the news spreads will be higher, but you will have a bit more certainty on the direction - even when you miss a chunk of the move.
Final Words
Regardless of whether you intend to trade the news or maybe stand aside; remember NFP can be an exciting and will often bring unexpected volatility. If you do decide to trade, stick with your news trading plan and strategy, and always keep an eye on risk / reward levels. Because of the high excitement, emotions will come into play and it's not unwise to use a demo account for the first few times you trade NFP.
#UrbanForex - Be conscious of your trading!
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Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD climbs to two-week highs beyond 1.1900
EUR/USD is keeping its foot on the gas at the start of the week, reclaiming the 1.1900 barrier and above on Monday. The US Dollar remains on the back foot, with traders reluctant to step in ahead of Wednesday’s key January jobs report, allowing the pair to extend its upward grind for now.
GBP/USD hits three-day peaks, targets 1.3700
GBP/USD is clocking decent gains at the start of the week, advancing to three-day highs near 1.3670 and building on Friday’s solid performance. The better tone in the British Pound comes on the back of the intense sekk-off in the Greenback and despite re-emerging signs of a fresh government crisis in the UK.
USD/JPY recedes to multi-day lows near 155.50
USD/JPY is pulling back sharply at the start of the week, slipping back toward the 155.50 area as speculation mounts that authorities could step in to rein in further Yen weakness. That narrative gained traction after PM S. Takaichi secured a landslide victory in Sunday’s election, stoking expectations of a tougher line in defence of the domestic currency.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD climbs to two-week highs beyond 1.1900
EUR/USD is keeping its foot on the gas at the start of the week, reclaiming the 1.1900 barrier and above on Monday. The US Dollar remains on the back foot, with traders reluctant to step in ahead of Wednesday’s key January jobs report, allowing the pair to extend its upward grind for now.
USD/JPY recedes to multi-day lows near 155.50
USD/JPY is pulling back sharply at the start of the week, slipping back toward the 155.50 area as speculation mounts that authorities could step in to rein in further Yen weakness. That narrative gained traction after PM S. Takaichi secured a landslide victory in Sunday’s election, stoking expectations of a tougher line in defence of the domestic currency.
Gold treads water around $5,000
Gold is trading in an inconclusive fashion around the key $5,000 mark on Monday week. Support is coming from fresh signs of further buying from the PBoC, while expectations that the Fed could turn more dovish, alongside concerns over its independence, keep the demand for the precious metal running.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin steadies around $70,000, Ethereum and XRP remain under pressure
Bitcoin hovers around $70,000, up near 15% from last week's low of $60,000 despite low retail demand. Ethereum delicately holds $2,000 support as weak technicals weigh amid declining futures Open Interest. XRP seeks support above $1.40 after facing rejection at $1.54 during the previous week's sharp rebound.
Japanese PM Takaichi nabs unprecedented victory – US data eyed this week
I do not think I would be exaggerating to say that Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s snap general election gamble paid off over the weekend – and then some. This secured the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) an unprecedented mandate just three months into her tenure.
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