The monthly release of the NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) figures is a highly anticipated moment for all traders. And this is with good cause, because the Non-Farm Payrolls has been historically known to shake up the market place quite a bit. Using a reliable NFP prediction strategy is something that many traders are after.
Just like most other news releases on the economic calendar, traders will use these figures to determine the strength or weakness of the underlying economy. NFP looks specifically at whether the US economy is expanding or contracting, based on the number of jobs added to the labour force. Having a NFP prediction strategy is a good way to be part of this action.
The NFP Prediction Strategy
This particular strategy has been tried and tested at Forex Watchers and Urban Forex. The videos above are two examples of live trading this strategy in a webinar.
The strategy itself is fairly straightforward. Find a correlating group and trade in the direction of the last daily candle. You can either choose to get in before the news is released or after. Both has it's pros and cons. Prior to the news spread are significantly lower, but there's the risk of the news spiking you out. After the news spreads will be higher, but you will have a bit more certainty on the direction - even when you miss a chunk of the move.
Final Words
Regardless of whether you intend to trade the news or maybe stand aside; remember NFP can be an exciting and will often bring unexpected volatility. If you do decide to trade, stick with your news trading plan and strategy, and always keep an eye on risk / reward levels. Because of the high excitement, emotions will come into play and it's not unwise to use a demo account for the first few times you trade NFP.
#UrbanForex - Be conscious of your trading!
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary, and does not constitute investment advice. Urbanforex will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.<7p>
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD extends the decline below 1.0800, Eurozone Retail Sales eyed
The EUR/USD pair remains under selling pressure below the 1.0800 psychological mark during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The upbeat Eurozone PMI data for November failed to inspire the Euro amid the persistently weak demand in the Eurozone.
GBP/USD holds to losses around 1.2600
GBP/USD dropped further on Tuesday, reaching a one-week low below 1.2600 amid a stronger US Dollar. The Greenback holds firm even as the US Treasury yield slides. More US jobs data is due on Wednesday with the ADP report.
USD/JPY remains capped below 147.45 ahead of US data
Dollar recovery fails at 147.45 and keeps bears in charge. Speculation about Fed cuts in March is limiting USD’s upside attempts. Hopes of some BoJ monetary policy normalisation support the Yen.
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD attracts some buyers above 0.6570 following the Australian GDP data
The AUD/USD pair climbs to 0.6575 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The pair edges higher following the Australian growth numbers. However, the rebound of the US Dollar and risk-off mood might cap the further upside of AUD/USD.
EUR/USD extends the decline below 1.0800, Eurozone Retail Sales eyed
The EUR/USD pair remains under selling pressure below the 1.0800 psychological mark during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The upbeat Eurozone PMI data for November failed to inspire the Euro amid the persistently weak demand in the Eurozone.
Gold drops to $2,020, eyed on US ADP data
Gold loses momentum during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The renewed US Dollar demand drag the yellow metal lower. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index rebounds to 104.00. The XAU/USD price trades near $2020, up 0.01% for the day.
Arbitrum price veers as hard fork proposal receives 99.84% votes in favor
Arbitrum's price surpassed expectations as the altcoin managed to restrict the fluctuation over the past 24 hours. This is because ARB was forecasted to rally following the result of the proposal to essentially hard-fork the chain.
US markets traded in a mixed-bag fashion
US markets traded in a mixed-bag fashion, but the tone of the S&P 500 was rather moody, with losers outpacing winners by a wide margin, all as markets digest a stronger-than-expected November ISM Non-manufacturing survey offset by an unexpected significant decline in October job openings.
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