|

Zilliqa Price Projection: ZIL is primed for a 35% decline to $0.10

  • Zilliqa price near all-time high at $0.235.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI) has shaped a bearish head-and-shoulders top.
  • Historical precedent contradicts the bullish narrative.

Zilliqa price has rallied 10,000% since March 2000 in a staircase shape to the most recent high at $0.211. Each leg higher has been followed by a 53% decline on average, of which the last two found support at the 10-week simple moving average (SMA). With the RSI carving out a head-and-shoulders top and historical precedent in favor of continuing this decline, ZIL could fall another 35% from current levels.

Zilliqa price not finding a bid as the all-time high looms

In December 2020, ZIL broke out from a bullish head-and-shoulders bottom, and it has held the 10-week SMA the entire rally. Volume has not been complimentary, excluding the first couple of weeks following the breakout; volume has been at or below average. Not what traders want to see at new rally highs.

Technical patterns can form on indicators as well as price, with the RSI shaping a bearish head-and-shoulders top in the weekly chart. A break below the neckline will likely proceed price, alerting traders to flip to the short side.

The first significant support is the 10-week SMA at $0.1204. Below is the 53% decline target from the most recent high at $0.099, representing a decline of 35% from current levels and 18% below the 10-week SMA.

A panic sell-off would drive ZIL down to the 40-week SMA at $0.052 and potentially to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at $0.037.

ZIL/USD weekly chart

ZIL/USD weekly chart

Considering the overbought condition on the RSI, the best that bulls can hope for in the short-term is a test of this week’s high at $0.187.

Author

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Independent Analyst

Sheldon has 24 years of investment experience holding various positions in companies based in the United States and Chile. His core competencies include BRIC and G-10 equity markets, swing and position trading and technical analysis.

More from Sheldon McIntyre, CMT
Share:

Editor's Picks

Cardano Price Forecast: Approaches critical support as correction risks grow
Cardano (ADA) recovers slightly, trading at $0.206 at the time of writing on Friday, inches above the critical support zone after losing more than 6% so far this week. Weakening derivatives data and fading bullish momentum suggest a bearish near-term outlook, with a decisive close below the support zone potentially triggering a deeper correction for ADA.
Crypto Overview: Bitcoin slips below $77,000 – Raydium, Falcon Finance hold gains

Bitcoin price trades below $77,000 on Friday, extending its capitulation from the previous week’s high at $82,300. Broader market consensus points to a higher likelihood that the US Federal Reserve could raise interest rates at the September meeting, as inflation concerns rise amid the war with Iran.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple – BTC pullback, ETH stalls, XRP weakens
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) remain under pressure on Friday as the broader cryptocurrency market extends its losses over 4%, 2.5% and 5%, respectively, this week.
Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH holds above $2,400 as PPI data strengthens rate hike expectations
Ethereum (ETH) is down 0.7% on Thursday as the second-largest cryptocurrency looks to recover from earlier pressure following the release of stronger US inflation data. The Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand rose 0.4% in August, matching market expectations after a revised 0.1% increase in July, according to the US Labor Department.
Bitcoin: Gearing up for a sharp move
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $81,000 on Friday, up over 4% so far this week, and awaits a key catalyst that could determine its next directional move. Strong institutional demand is supporting the bullish price action, with spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) on track to record a third straight week of inflows.