|

XLM Price Prediction: Stellar sets perfect conditions for a 60% rally

  • XLM price is contained inside the daily Keltner Bands and Bollinger Bands.
  • Stellar faces one critical resistance level before a retest of the all-time high.
  • A significant contraction in daily volume supports a price squeeze.

XLM price advance from mid-November 2020 to the February 13 high of $0.6083 was framed by three impulsive waves of 200%, 270%, and 170%, yielding an overall gain of 670%. Another bullish impulse of this nature could see Stellar rise to new yearly highs. 

XLM price squeeze creates energy for a big rally

For the last twenty trading days, XLM price has been locked in a sideways pattern while respecting the Keltner Bands’ midline. The result of the tight price action is the emergence of a squeeze pattern. 

A squeeze pattern is when the Bollinger Bands (BB) contract inside the Keltner Bands (KB) on any chart duration, and it is often a prelude to a sharp move in either direction. 

Take note. The correction in December 2020 was just over 50%, and the retracement in January was just over 50%. Guess what? The decline into late February was almost 50%. 

If symmetry holds, XLM price has already printed the low, and the current squeeze pattern has a higher probability of resolving to the upside than the downside.

To confirm the new rally, Stellar needs to clear the resistance defined by the upper Keltner Band and the upper Bollinger Band around $0.444. A successful breakout will lift the price to the all-time high at $0.6083 in quick fashion.

Additional profit targets are the 1.382 retracement level at $0.718, which is 60% from the squeeze pattern, and then the 1.618 retracement level at $0.787.

XLM/USD daily chart

XLM/USD daily chart

Essential support for the bullish outlook comes in at $0.373. A failure to hold above this price point would be followed by a decline to the February 23 low at $0.314 and potentially to the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) at $0.309.

Author

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Independent Analyst

Sheldon has 24 years of investment experience holding various positions in companies based in the United States and Chile. His core competencies include BRIC and G-10 equity markets, swing and position trading and technical analysis.

More from Sheldon McIntyre, CMT
Share:

Editor's Picks

CLARITY Act approval odds sink fast ahead of Congressional hearing

The US House Financial Services Committee’s Subcommittee on Digital Assets, Financial Technology, and Artificial Intelligence (AI) is holding a hearing titled “Building the Future of Finance: How the CLARITY Act Unlocks Innovation” on Friday.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP give back gains as tit-for-tat US-Iran strikes persist

Bitcoin has corrected by more than 1% on the day, trading below $63,000. This is part of a larger retracement from its weekly high of $65,600. Ethereum and Ripple similarly reflect overall pressure, with ETH falling toward the short-term $1,800 support and XRP hovering below the pivotal $1.10 level.

Dogecoin nears yearly low as bearish bias grows

Dogecoin extends its decline on Friday, trading near its yearly low at $0.069 as bearish sentiment continues to weigh on the meme coin. Weakening derivatives metrics and a deteriorating technical outlook suggest a deeper correction if DOGE slips below $0.069.

Pi Network Price Forecast: Mild recovery in PI marks early signs of trend reversal

Pi Network (PI) shows a mild recovery on Friday, following three consecutive days of consolidation, as selling pressure eases after a steep decline earlier this month. Speculative demand for a potential rebound in PI is on the rise as its Open Interest remains elevated.

Bitcoin’s potential recovery in the second half hinges on these 4 catalysts
Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen over 34% in the first half of this year as the King Crypto failed to capitalize on a good semester for risk assets despite the woes from the Iran war.