|

Why the Cardano price collapse will return ADA to $1

  • Cardano price dropped nearly 23% during the Thursday trading session.
  • Massive incoming volume shows the bottom is likely in for ADA.
  • Multiple time cycles complement price action for a new uptrend for Cardano.

Cardano price action has been some of the most bearish in its history. In fact, The nine-month stretch from September 2021 to May 2022 is arguably the most devastating price action Cardano has ever experienced. However, a low may have been found, and a resumption of the bull market is likely to occur soon.

Cardano price recovers nearly all of its daily losses during the late NY session

Cardano price is on track to retrace almost the entirety of its nearly 23% wipeout for the day. The daily volume (not shown) is thus far the third-highest volume traded day of 2022 and the third-highest since the all-time high made in September 2021. Volume has been steadily increasing on a daily average since the middle of April 2022 – and if volume does precede price, then ADA is ready to bounce and bounce hard.

New fifteen-month lows were hit for Cardano price, pushing ADA into the $0.30 value area for the first time since February 2021. Support was found primary at $0.40, where the 88.6% Fibonacci retracement and just above a high volume node in the 2021 Volume Profile.

ADA/USD Daily Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Chart with Gann's Square of a Range

From a time cycle perspective, there are multiple reasons that Cardano price will reverse and begin a new and extended uptrend.

  1. Kumo Twist on May 13th.
  2. 50% range of the current Gann Square of a Range
  3. 240-day Ganny Cycle of the Inner Year (tends to be a low if the market is in an uptrend)
  4. 49 – 52 day Gann ‘death cycle’ (often terminates blow-off moves - like what ADA has experienced this week).

The initial resistance zone that Cardano price will like face is the 50% Fibonacci retracement at the critical $1.00 value area. The $1 price level will likely determine the direction of Cardano price for the remainder of 2022.

Author

Jonathan Morgan

Jonathan Morgan

Independent Analyst

Jonathan has been working as an Independent future, forex, and cryptocurrency trader and analyst for 8 years. He also has been writing for the past 5 years.

More from Jonathan Morgan
Share:

Editor's Picks

XRP steadies in narrow range as fund inflows, futures interest rise

Ripple is trading in a narrow range between $1.45 (immediate support) and $1.50 (resistance) at the time of writing on Monday. The remittance token extended its recovery last week, peaking at $1.67 on Sunday from the weekly open at $1.43. 

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP trade within range amid low retail interest 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple continue to exhibit subdued volatility, consolidating within narrow ranges at the time of writing on Monday. Persistent low retail participation and weak technical structures limit the chances of any extended upside price movements.

Bitcoin consolidates as on-chain data show mixed signals

Bitcoin price has consolidated between $65,700 and $72,000 over the past nine days, with no clear directional bias. US-listed spot ETFs recorded a $359.91 million weekly outflow, marking the fourth consecutive week of withdrawals.

Monero Price Forecast: XMR risks a drop below $300 under mounting bearish pressure

Monero (XMR) starts the week under pressure, recording a 4% decline at press time on Monday after a 7% drop the previous day, putting the $300 support zone in focus.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: BTC bears aren’t done yet

Bitcoin (BTC) price slips below $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, remaining under pressure and extending losses of nearly 5% so far this week.