|

Why LUNA traders do not have to be in the market all the time

  • Terra price flip-flopping around $1.9370 as bulls claw back.
  • LUNA price goes nowhere as global markets are starting to track back from the rate hike cycles from central banks.
  • With inflation being tackled, the question is how far central banks will go as further hikes could start to trigger layoffs, kills growth and outline recession.

Terra (LUNA) price action has slipped below a critical level outlined a few days ago. As price action moves start to get smaller, a big move is set to happen, but it is very cloudy to see where that move will be going. Until last week it was clear that central banks would keep tightening and squeezing to kill inflation, but this week some changes got mentioned as it becomes clear that further tightening will spark a recession. Should you be part of this cloudy market and not wait until the next step becomes clearer?

LUNA in need of a coffee break

Terra price looks to continue its downward trajectory backed by the global scenario where central banks are further tightening monetary policy. With this monetary approach, borrowing money gets more expensive, and investors are losing their leverage as returns in cryptocurrencies are not there to pay back and level up from the credit margins that need to be paid for those loans. This explains the cash drain that has been going on these past few months.

LUNA price, however, sees a slowdown in its downward path as markets are getting puzzled by the mixed signals from several central banks. It almost looks like the FED is willingly pushing the US into recession with further aggressive rate hikes, while CEE banks are signaling that the rate hike cycle is coming to an end by attempting to go for a soft landing. On the back of this, it is best as a trader to stay vigilant as this moment could be the eye of the storm, and everything appears to wind still, awaiting a break back above $1.9370 before getting long and targeting $2.6987 to the upside with 40% of the gains on the table.

LUNA/USD daily chart

LUNA/USD daily chart

Risk at the moment could come from a firm rejection against that $1.9370 and would see another drop in the price action. That would mean that a retest of $1.6139 is being put back on the table and could trigger another leg lower towards $1.3494, which falls in line with the 61.8% Fibonacci level. This amounts to another 30% devaluation of Terra's already troubled price action.



 

Author

Filip Lagaart

Filip Lagaart is a former sales/trader with over 15 years of financial markets expertise under its belt.

More from Filip Lagaart
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ripple falters amid sell-off jitters and negative funding rates

Ripple (XRP) has come under pressure, drifting lower to $1.35 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The over 2% correction looks poised to erase the previous day’s gains, which lifted the remittance token to $1.42.

Bitcoin could risk $50,000 amid the US-Iran war, mirroring the Russia-Ukraine war losses

Bitcoin (BTC) remains at downside risk amid escalation in the Middle East war, as Iran retaliates against the US, Israel, and its neighbouring countries. Drawing parallels to the early days of the Russia-Ukraine war, Bitcoin could extend losses below $60,000. 

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pull back as sentiment remains in extreme market fear

The cryptocurrency market is broadly in the red on Tuesday as the Middle East grapples with an escalating war. Bitcoin (BTC) is in a pullback, trading below $67,000 at the time of writing, and most altcoins follow suit.

Bitcoin slips below $67,000 as risk-aversion grows amid escalating US-Iran war

Bitcoin price slides 3% on Tuesday, nearly erasing the previous day's rebound. US-listed spot ETFs recorded an inflow of more than $450 million while Strategy added 3,015 BTC on Monday.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: Another month of losses, and it’s been five

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday, but the Crypto King is poised to close February on a fragile footing, marking its fifth consecutive month of losses since October and a rare start to the year with back-to-back monthly corrections.