|

What does the recent Bitcoin price sell-off mean for the crypto ecosystem?

  • Bitcoin price shows weakness as it gets rejected by the 200-week SMA at $22,559.
  • A daily candlestick close below the $20,726 to $19,284 demand zone could trigger a sweep of $17,591.
  • If BTC recovers and flips above the 200-week SMA at $22,559, it could attempt an upswing to $25,000.

Bitcoin price tried to breach through the significant and high-time frame resistance barrier but failed. As a result, the downswing that emerged pushed BTC lower and the June 11 sell-off has currently pushed it below the $20,000 psychological level.

Bitcoin price reveals its hands

Bitcoin price moved above the $17,591 to $21,706 range on July 8, indicating an overwhelming surge in buying pressure. This rally soaked up the selling pressure and still moved higher to retest the 200-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $22,559.

Due to the arduous nature of the journey, Bitcoin price and the bullish momentum faced exhaustion upon the retest, resulting in a sell-off. As a result, BTC dropped hard and fast and is currently approaching the midpoint of the aforementioned range at $19,649.

If this momentum continues, Bitcoin price is more than likely to retest and sweep the range low at $17,591. While this move is a conservative outlook, a daily candlestick close below this level will signal otherwise.

In such a case, investors can wait for a secondary confirmation, which will be a weekly close below the $19,000 level. Assuming bears manage to pull this off, the market participants can. expect the Bitcoin price to trigger a crash to the $15,000 psychological level.

BTC/USD 1-day chart

BTC/USD 1-day chart

While the bearish outlook does look more than gloomy, it is possible, at least from a technical standpoint. Further adding credence to this scenario is the talk of Mt. Gox releasing roughly 150,000 BTC.

This flooding could potentially trigger a selling pressure that will push Bitcoin price lower. 

However, if Bitcoin price produces a decisive daily candlestick close above the 200-week SMA at $22,559, it will invalidate the bearish thesis. In this case, BTC could trigger a quick run-up that retests the $25,000 hurdle.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Editor's Picks

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary.

Ethereum Price Forecast: FG Nexus continues distribution amid signs of returning risk-on sentiment

FG Nexus, once dubbed an Ethereum treasury firm, resumed offloading the top altcoin on Wednesday, distributing 7,550 ETH, according to data from smart money tracker EmberCN.

Top Crypto Gainers: Stable and Decred rally, Pippin approaches record highs

Altcoins, such as Stable, Decred, and Pippin, are extending gains so far this week, defying the risk-averse conditions in the broader cryptocurrency market. Stable and Pippin are near record high levels, while Decred extends its breakout rally above $30.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: No recovery in sight

Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to trade within a range-bound zone, hovering around $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, and falling slightly so far this week, with no signs of recovery.