|

The number of mid-term BTC investors is increasing

The latest The Week On Chain report from Glassnode says there is a growing number of investors with a short time horizon ('short-term holders' - STHs), whose investments have increased by 330,000 BTC since May. It was this month that the crypto world grappled with the great panic and news of Luna's collapse.

The percentage of active supply in the '+1 year' period also rises to some of the highest levels ever. This could be a good sign for the market, which historically speaking normally gained after spikes of this indicator.

The HODL Waves chart gives a good picture of the demand structure for cryptocurrencies over the past 1.5 years. Most of the gains from early 2021 were to 1-2y investors. In the next wave of gains in the second half of 2021, investors were more likely to target a shorter period of 6-12 months. The recent surge has again seen an influx of investors in the first category. These figures could potentially indicate the timeframe of possible upswings within the next cycle.

The data presented in Glassnode's report could point to an upward movement in the price of BTC in the medium term, which overlaps with Grayscale Investment's estimate of the timing of the next long bull market, which would begin within the next year.

Leading tokens BTC and ETH are down 0.3 and 1.4%, respectively, today at 11:00 GMT+3 on the Conotoxia MT5 trading platform. ETH is marking its third daily bear candle. Its price has temporarily moved below the 10-day moving average. However, ETH still seems to be moving in an upward price channel, to break out of it, the token would have to permanently break through the level around $1,770.

The possibility of a correction in the short term cannot be dismissed, especially after the recent wave of strong gains. The current RSI (near the overbought zone) and MACD (drawing lower positive bars in the last days than those in the previous weeks' gains and entering the negative histogram area) may support such a scenario.

Author

Daniel Kostecki

Daniel Kostecki is a graduate of Economics at the University of Szczecin in Poland. Privately connected to the financial markets since 2007 and professionally since 2010.

More from Daniel Kostecki
Share:

Editor's Picks

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary.

Ethereum Price Forecast: FG Nexus continues distribution amid signs of returning risk-on sentiment

FG Nexus, once dubbed an Ethereum treasury firm, resumed offloading the top altcoin on Wednesday, distributing 7,550 ETH, according to data from smart money tracker EmberCN.

Top Crypto Gainers: Stable and Decred rally, Pippin approaches record highs

Altcoins, such as Stable, Decred, and Pippin, are extending gains so far this week, defying the risk-averse conditions in the broader cryptocurrency market. Stable and Pippin are near record high levels, while Decred extends its breakout rally above $30.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: Another month of losses, and it’s been five

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday, but the Crypto King is poised to close February on a fragile footing, marking its fifth consecutive month of losses since October and a rare start to the year with back-to-back monthly corrections.