|

The crypto is updating its three-month lows

Market overview

The crypto market resumed its decline on Friday, falling 5% in 24 hours to $3.57 trillion. This time, it looks more like a painful reflex after the events of a week ago. But this is an even more dangerous dynamic because we are not seeing a slip in a thin market, but rather a massive sell-off in search of a new bottom. We will closely monitor market dynamics at the 200-day moving average of $3.50 trillion, where there could be a sharp rebound at the end of June or a further decline in March.

Bitcoin fell below $106K. The last time the price consistently exceeded current levels was in early July. The first cryptocurrency plunged below the 200-day moving average. Over the past couple of years, fixing below it triggered a sideways movement for several weeks before the market was able to find solid ground. 

News background

Since October 9, miners have transferred 51,000 BTC worth more than $5.7 billion to Binance, according to CryptoQuant. This may indicate a change in strategy — from holding assets to selling or hedging them.

Large Bitcoin holders are reducing their positions without signs of panic, selling about 17,500 BTC in recent days, according to BRN. However, since the beginning of the year, they have remained net buyers, accumulating more than 318,000 BTC.

Retail investors have increased their purchases of Bitcoin after the recent market correction. At the same time, large investors are reducing their sales volumes, according to Glassnode.

CoinGecko recorded a decline in the correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 index from 0.9 to zero in the third quarter. At the same time, other cryptocurrencies remained moderately highly dependent on the stock index — 0.68 versus 0.88 previously. The correlation between Bitcoin and the overall crypto market has also weakened.

Ethereum has overtaken Solana and Bitcoin regarding the number of new developers. Since the beginning of the year, the number of developers in the ETH ecosystem has grown by 16,181.

According to the Financial Times, President Trump's family has earned over $1 billion from cryptocurrency projects. The politician's son, Eric Trump, confirmed to the publication that the actual profit is “most likely much higher.”

Author

Alexander Kuptsikevich

Alexander Kuptsikevich, a senior market analyst at FxPro, has been with the company since its foundation. From time to time, he gives commentaries on radio and television. He publishes in major economic and socio-political media.

More from Alexander Kuptsikevich
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin (DOGE) trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.

Cardano Price Forecast: ADA dips below $0.37, hitting two-month low as bearish momentum builds

Cardano (ADA) price trades in the red, slipping below $0.37 on Thursday after correcting more than 7% so far this week. The ongoing pullback could deepen further as ADA’s social dominance declines and dormant wallet activity rises, suggesting bearish sentiment among traders.

Top Crypto Losers: Pump.fun, SPX6900, Bittensor slide further with double-digit losses

Pump.fun (PUMP), SPX6900 (SPX), and Bittensor (TAO) are leading the losses in the cryptocurrency market over the last 24 hours amid total liquidations of over $500 million. The retail segment alleges institutional manipulation amid an early-morning Bitcoin sell-off routine in the US market.

Bitcoin, Ethereum whipsaw sparks heavy liquidations amid accusations of market manipulation

The crypto market whipsawed on Wednesday as top cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), quickly reversed gains from the early American session.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.