|

Polkadot Technical Analysis: DOT bears tighten their hold, price aims for $4

  • DOT/USD has been on a downtrend after charting the evening star pattern.
  • The 4-hour chart has flashed the buy signal with a red-nine candlestick in the TD sequential indicator.

Polkadot has had three consecutive bearish days after encountering resistance at the $4.70 barrier. In the process, DOT managed to break below the 50-day SMA and is currently priced at $4.35. The sellers are looking to aim for the $4 support wall. A break below that will take the “Ethereum killer” to the $3.75 support level. The MACD also shows decreasing bullish momentum following the recent bearish price action.

DOT/USD daily chart

DOT/USD daily chart

The Flipside: Bulls to launch a short-term fight back?

While the overall outlook seems bearish, it looks like the buyers could be gearing for a short-term fightback. The 4-hour chart has flashed a buy signal in the TD sequential indicator with a red-nine candlestick. Currently, the price faces resistance at the 50-bar SMA ($4.35). Breaking above this obstacle will take the price up to the $4.45 resistance line, which has previously thwarted the price multiple times.

DOT/USD 4-hour chart

DOT/USD 4-hour chart

Key price levels to watch

DOT bears will aim to take the price down to the $4 support wall. A break below that will take the price down to the $3.75 support line.

The bulls will try to take control in the short term and break above the 50-bar SMA ($4.35) in the 4-hour chart. Following that, they will aim to take the DOT up to the $4.45 resistance.

Author

Rajarshi Mitra

Rajarshi Mitra

Independent Analyst

Rajarshi entered the blockchain space in 2016. He is a blockchain researcher who has worked for Blockgeeks and has done research work for several ICOs. He gets regularly invited to give talks on the blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies.

More from Rajarshi Mitra
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Meme Coins Price Prediction: Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Pepe recover, echoing Bitcoin rebound

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe are trading mixed as Bitcoin records minor gains on Monday, warming sentiment across the broader cryptocurrency market. Still, the incipient recovery in Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe remains fragile amid the prevailing downtrend.

Bitcoin consolidates as downside risks persist

Bitcoin has made only three wave rallies from the November lows, which is one of the most important indications that more weakness may still lie ahead.

Polkadot's (DOT) dips, with token underperforming wider crypto markets

DOT $1.8269 fell 2% to $1.84 over the last 24 hours. Trading volumes were 7.8% above the seven-day moving average at 7.76 million tokens, according to CoinDesk Research's technical analysis model.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.