|

Polkadot price flashes warning signal and DOT bulls could panic

  • Polkadot price inside a bearish rising wedge pattern.
  • Three-box reversal would coincide with a trend line break.
  • -27% drop in sight for DOT.

Polkadot price is currently trading inside one of the most bearish chart patterns in existence: the Rising Wedge. The rising wedge patterns signal extremes and overbought conditions and are progenitors of massive corrective moves or broader trend changes. 

Polkadot price action warns of overdone moves, bulls could get trapped

Polkadot price is at an inflection point. The bulls remain in charge here, but the threat to the downside is substantial and could trap a good number of bulls. If Polkadot moves down to $36.50, that will initiate a new column of Os and a three-box reversal. 

The three-box reversal coincides with a break of the lower trending line in the rising wedge. Utilizing the vertical profit target method in Point and Figure charting, the target zone for bears would be the $27.00 value area. The move could likely extend lower, but support against the dominant bull market trendline should be expected the closer Polkadot price gets to the $27.00 level. 

DOT/USD $0.50/3-box reversal Point and Figure chart

Bears may have to wait a while, however. If Polkadot price moves up to $40.50, then it will enter into price discovery mode. In other words, Polkadot will probably visit its prior all-time highs and then push on to make new all-time highs. As bearish as the rising wedge pattern is, its ability to cause a substantial blow-off top move has a high probability, especially if an instrument is trading at - or near all-time highs. 

In the event of a breakdown below the rising wedge, bears will want to monitor the break carefully and watch for a retest to confirm an honest move.

Author

Jonathan Morgan

Jonathan Morgan

Independent Analyst

Jonathan has been working as an Independent future, forex, and cryptocurrency trader and analyst for 8 years. He also has been writing for the past 5 years.

More from Jonathan Morgan
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ethereum Price Forecast: Long-term holders' capitulation drives ETH below $1,800

Ethereum has fallen below $1,800 on Wednesday, the first time since May 2025 following accelerated spot selling pressure and distributions from long-term holders.

XRP and XLM outlook: Bearish streak extends as risk-off mood erodes retail demand, ETF flows

Ripple and Stellar prices face intense selling pressure, extending losses on Thursday for the fourth consecutive day this week. Cross-border remittance tokens are losing retail sentiment, while XRP faces additional pressure from Exchange-Traded Fund outflows. 

Bitcoin drops below $65K amid reinforced bear market signals

Bitcoin dipped further below $65,000 with onchain data from Glassnode signaling a market firmly in a bear phase. The decline has pushed prices back into a key valuation range between the Realized Price and the True Market Mean.

Grayscale launches Hyperliquid staking ETF, undercutting rival fees

Grayscale announced the launch of its Hyperliquid Staking ETF (HYPG) on Wednesday, now trading on Nasdaq. The fund offers investors direct exposure to HYPE and incorporates staking rewards, which the company claims have historically ranged from 2.2% to 2.3% annually.

Billions in ETF outflows don’t bode well
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $74,000 on Friday, and is set to post its third consecutive week of losses. The institutional sell-off continues, with spot BTC Exchange-Traded funds (ETFs) recording billions in outflows. In addition, sticky inflation and macroeconomic headwinds suppress the Crypto King’s upside potential. Institutional demand continues to weaken so far this week.