|

Polkadot price develops bearish divergence, hinting at 22% drop

  • Polkadot price shows evidence of a bull trap.
  • A bullish breakout above the Cloud is not confirmed with Polkadot’s oscillators.
  • A return to volatile and indecisive price action inside the Cloud is likely.

Polkadot price is nearing an inflection point. Like a majority of the cryptocurrency market, Polkadot has paused after experiencing a massive rally. At first glance, Polkdadot appears to be in very favorable buying conditions. However, not all is as it may seem.

Polkadot hidden bearish divergence signals a warning that sellers may take control

Polkadot price has mixed signals which are likely causing frustration for buyers and sellers alike. While Polkadot has broken out above the Cloud – and even close above the Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen – the Chikou Span remains in a constricted position and is neither bullish nor bearish. The oscillators, however, point to a bearish slant.

The Relative Strength Index is currently at bear market levels and shows difficulty crossing above the first overbought condition at 55. The Relative Strength Index is presently sloping down and away from the 55 level. Additionally, the Composite Index shows blatant hidden bearish divergence with lower highs printed by Polkadot price on the candlestick chart and higher highs on the Composite Index. Finally, the Optex Bands now show a sharp hook south.

DOT/USD Daily Ichimoku Chart

One condition needs to be met to invalidate a bearish continuation move.  The Chikou Span must close at a level where it will not intercept any candlesticks over the next five to ten periods. This can only occur if Polkadot price closes at or above $37.50. If this does not happen, then a return to $25.00 is more than likely to occur.


Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:

Author

Jonathan Morgan

Jonathan Morgan

Independent Analyst

Jonathan has been working as an Independent future, forex, and cryptocurrency trader and analyst for 8 years. He also has been writing for the past 5 years.

More from Jonathan Morgan
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ripple eyes $1.50 breakout despite softening on-chain activity

XRP remains elevated near $1.45 after a sharp spike from the weekly low of $1.31. XRP retains a neutral-to-bullish technical outlook, supported by the RSI and uptrending moving averages.

Zcash Price Forecast: Rally hits nine-year high above $1,000 amid growing shielded demand

Zcash trades above $1,000 on Friday, building on its 16% gain from the previous day. On-chain data show a steady increase in shielded supply to 4.86 million ZEC tokens, pointing to growing demand for privacy.

Crypto’s $638 million buyback boom may not be as bullish as it looks

Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols reportedly spent $638 million to buy back their native tokens in August, up 17% from a year earlier. On the surface, the buyback trend suggests the cryptocurrency industry is maturing fast.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP recovery takes a breather amid capital inflows

Bitcoin corrects lower toward $80,000 after testing highs at $81,269, supported by $731 million in ETF inflows. Ethereum bulls push to regain momentum, with $2,500 providing immediate support.

Bitcoin: Gearing up for a sharp move
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $81,000 on Friday, up over 4% so far this week, and awaits a key catalyst that could determine its next directional move. Strong institutional demand is supporting the bullish price action, with spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) on track to record a third straight week of inflows.