|

Polkadot price develops bearish divergence, hinting at 22% drop

  • Polkadot price shows evidence of a bull trap.
  • A bullish breakout above the Cloud is not confirmed with Polkadot’s oscillators.
  • A return to volatile and indecisive price action inside the Cloud is likely.

Polkadot price is nearing an inflection point. Like a majority of the cryptocurrency market, Polkadot has paused after experiencing a massive rally. At first glance, Polkdadot appears to be in very favorable buying conditions. However, not all is as it may seem.

Polkadot hidden bearish divergence signals a warning that sellers may take control

Polkadot price has mixed signals which are likely causing frustration for buyers and sellers alike. While Polkadot has broken out above the Cloud – and even close above the Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen – the Chikou Span remains in a constricted position and is neither bullish nor bearish. The oscillators, however, point to a bearish slant.

The Relative Strength Index is currently at bear market levels and shows difficulty crossing above the first overbought condition at 55. The Relative Strength Index is presently sloping down and away from the 55 level. Additionally, the Composite Index shows blatant hidden bearish divergence with lower highs printed by Polkadot price on the candlestick chart and higher highs on the Composite Index. Finally, the Optex Bands now show a sharp hook south.

DOT/USD Daily Ichimoku Chart

One condition needs to be met to invalidate a bearish continuation move.  The Chikou Span must close at a level where it will not intercept any candlesticks over the next five to ten periods. This can only occur if Polkadot price closes at or above $37.50. If this does not happen, then a return to $25.00 is more than likely to occur.


Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:

Author

Jonathan Morgan

Jonathan Morgan

Independent Analyst

Jonathan has been working as an Independent future, forex, and cryptocurrency trader and analyst for 8 years. He also has been writing for the past 5 years.

More from Jonathan Morgan
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

World Liberty Financial recovers as community votes to unlock treasury funds for USD1 adoption

World Liberty Financial recovers over 3% on Friday, holding ground at a key support trendline. Community begins voting to unlock roughly 5% WLFI treasury funds to incentivize USD1 stablecoin adoption.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.