|

Polkadot price develops bearish divergence, hinting at 22% drop

  • Polkadot price shows evidence of a bull trap.
  • A bullish breakout above the Cloud is not confirmed with Polkadot’s oscillators.
  • A return to volatile and indecisive price action inside the Cloud is likely.

Polkadot price is nearing an inflection point. Like a majority of the cryptocurrency market, Polkadot has paused after experiencing a massive rally. At first glance, Polkdadot appears to be in very favorable buying conditions. However, not all is as it may seem.

Polkadot hidden bearish divergence signals a warning that sellers may take control

Polkadot price has mixed signals which are likely causing frustration for buyers and sellers alike. While Polkadot has broken out above the Cloud – and even close above the Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen – the Chikou Span remains in a constricted position and is neither bullish nor bearish. The oscillators, however, point to a bearish slant.

The Relative Strength Index is currently at bear market levels and shows difficulty crossing above the first overbought condition at 55. The Relative Strength Index is presently sloping down and away from the 55 level. Additionally, the Composite Index shows blatant hidden bearish divergence with lower highs printed by Polkadot price on the candlestick chart and higher highs on the Composite Index. Finally, the Optex Bands now show a sharp hook south.

DOT/USD Daily Ichimoku Chart

One condition needs to be met to invalidate a bearish continuation move.  The Chikou Span must close at a level where it will not intercept any candlesticks over the next five to ten periods. This can only occur if Polkadot price closes at or above $37.50. If this does not happen, then a return to $25.00 is more than likely to occur.


Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:

Author

Jonathan Morgan

Jonathan Morgan

Independent Analyst

Jonathan has been working as an Independent future, forex, and cryptocurrency trader and analyst for 8 years. He also has been writing for the past 5 years.

More from Jonathan Morgan
Share:

Editor's Picks

Top 3 Price Prediction: BTC gains strength as ETH and XRP selling eases

Top three cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple, are holding steady on Wednesday after a bullish close the previous day. The mild recovery hints at an extended rally as the prevailing bearish pressure eases. Bitcoin trades at $82,930 on Wednesday, holding a bullish near-term bias following a mild rebound the previous day.

Ethereum staking hits record, but yield and fee revenue fall

Ethereum staking reached a record 43.8 million ETH in Q3 2026 amid a decline in annualized staking yields, according to crypto asset manager Bitwise. In its Q4 staking report on Tuesday, Bitwise stated that staked Ether accounted for 35.9% of the asset’s total supply by the end of the quarter. Net staking inflows reached 1.99 million ETH, marking the sixth straight quarter of growth.

 Bitcoin resumes Nasdaq correlation as macro pressures threaten $82,500 support

Bitcoin's correlation with the Nasdaq is rising again after last week's decline alongside tech stocks, even as macro pressures place the $82,500 support at risk. In a report on Tuesday, K33 Research highlighted that Bitcoin has resumed its correlation with the tech-heavy Nasdaq after last week's price movements.

 Bitcoin resumes Nasdaq correlation as macro pressures threaten $82,500 support
Bitcoin's (BTC) correlation with the Nasdaq is rising again after last week's decline alongside tech stocks, even as macro pressures place the $82,500 support at risk. In a report on Tuesday, K33 Research highlighted that Bitcoin has resumed its correlation with the tech-heavy Nasdaq after last week's price movements.
Bitcoin: Macroeconomic headwinds, cooling demand cap BTC gains
Bitcoin (BTC) extends losses this week, trading below $82,500 as of Friday as selling pressure continues. Weakening institutional demand supports this pullback as BTC spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) are on track to record a two-week withdrawal streak, reaching $146.19 million in net outflows through Thursday.