|

Is the Terra Luna Classic price setting up for a steep retracement?

  • Terra's Luna Classic has risen by 17% since January 9.
  • LUNC could retrace the recent gains as a retest of previous support.
  • A candlestick close above $0.00020000 would invalidate the bearish thesis.

Terra's Luna Classic price confirms the bullish trade idea mentioned in the previous outlook. Traders should be wary of the profit-taking consolidation as a deeper pullback could occur.

 Luna Classic price in question

Terra's Luna Classic price broke up by 17% to the upside last week, tagging the liquidity above December's high at $0.00019437. During the breach on January 14, the volume indicator saw an influx of $411.5 billion in transactions, the largest trading day in all of 2023. After tagging the liquidity level, the daily candlestick closed bearish, which could be a subtle cue that the bullish intentions to collect liquidity have been fulfilled and that a market reversal could be on the horizon.

Luna Classic price currently trades at $0.00017666 as profit-taking bears have forged a 10% decline since the aforementioned target zone was breached. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), an indicator used to gauge market performance by evaluating previous swing points, shows the current LUNC price in a make-or-break situation.

The recent high in the RSI stopped just above the breakout range around 70, indicating that the upward trend that started in the last week of December is still a temporary reversal of the current trend. The previous decline landed in oversold territory on December 20, which suggests the bears are still in control of the larger trend.

If the market is making a turn for the worst, the next bearish target would be the January 8 swing low at $0.00014800, resulting in a 16% decline front the current market value.

tm/lunc/1/17/22

LUNC/USDT 1-day chart

Invalidation of the bearish thesis could arise from a daily closing candlestick above $0.00020000. The confirmation could provoke a rise towards the midpoint of November’s trading range near $0.00023200, resulting in a 30% increase from the Luna Classic price.




 

Author

Tony M.

Tony M.

FXStreet Contributor

Tony Montpeirous began investing in cryptocurrencies in 2017. His trading style incorporates Elliot Wave, Auction Market Theory, Fibonacci and price action as the cornerstone of his technical analysis.

More from Tony M.
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Meme Coins Price Prediction: Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Pepe recover, echoing Bitcoin rebound

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe are trading mixed as Bitcoin records minor gains on Monday, warming sentiment across the broader cryptocurrency market. Still, the incipient recovery in Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe remains fragile amid the prevailing downtrend.

Bitcoin consolidates as downside risks persist

Bitcoin has made only three wave rallies from the November lows, which is one of the most important indications that more weakness may still lie ahead.

Polkadot's (DOT) dips, with token underperforming wider crypto markets

DOT $1.8269 fell 2% to $1.84 over the last 24 hours. Trading volumes were 7.8% above the seven-day moving average at 7.76 million tokens, according to CoinDesk Research's technical analysis model.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.