|

Ethereum price bound to dive below $1,500 before the uptrend resumes

  • Ethereum price action has taken on a bearish tone since March 10.
  • The Relative Strength Index (RSI) did not confirm the recent upward price action.
  • A double top is clear, but it may morph into a head-and-shoulders top.

Ethereum price confirmed a double top pattern before rebounding and shaping a hammer on the 12-hour chart below. The quick rebound raises the question of whether ETH is now shaping a head-and-shoulders top and is bound for further losses.

Ethereum price is visibly influenced by the bears

The RSI is around the 52 mark, indicating a balance between supply and demand. It also adds validity to the alternative bearish view that Ethereum price could now be shaping a head-and-shoulders top. A fall below the 50 levels will indicate that momentum is accelerating for a bearish impulse.

A renewal of downward pressure that takes ETH below the key support at $1,714 on a 12-hour closing basis will shape a right shoulder over the coming days before falling below the neckline around $1,695.

Immediate support is at the .382 retracement level ($1,661) followed by the .50 retracement level ($1,583). If selling accelerates Ethereum price may retest the February low at $1,293, forcing the bulls to rethink their forecasts for a rally to $10,000.

ETH/USD 12-hour chart

ETH/USD 12-hour chart

The line in the sand for the bearish forecast is a trade above $1,944. Both bearish alternatives would be negated and ETH price will easily test the all-time high at $2,041.42.

Author

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Independent Analyst

Sheldon has 24 years of investment experience holding various positions in companies based in the United States and Chile. His core competencies include BRIC and G-10 equity markets, swing and position trading and technical analysis.

More from Sheldon McIntyre, CMT
Share:

Editor's Picks

Uniswap extends rally amid Arc stablecoin liquidity partnership

Uniswap approaches $3.00 at the time of writing on Tuesday, extending its rebound for the sixth consecutive day. The rebound aligns with the broader risk-on mood in the crypto market, with Bitcoin trading above $67,000.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin extends recovery above $66K as Ethereum and XRP lose momentum

Bitcoin holds above $66,000, seemingly poised to extend its rebound, supported by growing retail demand. Ethereum struggles near the $1,800 short-term supply range despite a strengthening derivatives market.

Bitcoin rebound driven by fading selling pressure as demand remains subdued

Bitcoin extends its recovery, trading above $66,500 on Tuesday, marking four consecutive days of green candlesticks. Report highlights that BTC is staging a tentative relief bounce from deeply oversold conditions, suggesting stabilization rather than a trend reversal.

Zcash, Near Protocol, Hyperliquid regain bullish momentum after Arthur Hayes exit

Zcash, NEAR Protocol, and Hyperliquid edge higher on Tuesday, extending their recovery so far this week. Retail and institutional demand heats up for altcoins, fueling a rebound as prices fully absorb the impact of Arthur Hayes's exit.

Experts agree: Bitcoin nears bottom, but weak demand raises doubts
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading above $63,000 at the time of writing on Friday after rebounding from the key 200-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) near $62,000, a level widely viewed as key long-term support. The recovery may suggest that Bitcoin has found a floor after a sharp correction that spanned more than a month, but some warning signs persist.