|

Ethereum Classic Price Prediction: ETC clears weak holders, time to rise another 20%

  • Ethereum Classic price engages the July ascending trend line for the second time in four days.
  • ETC will fail to close with five consecutive positive weeks, a feat it has not accomplished since April 2020.
  • The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is the last line of defense for the new rally.

Ethereum Classic price has failed to reach the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at $80.75, a fundamental level of resistance for the move that has totaled over 100% from the July 20 low. With the July ascending trend line providing support, coupled with the nearby support directed by the June 30 high of $62.45, ETC should engineer a new attempt to touch the Fibonacci level before undergoing a complete pullback.

Ethereum Classic price nears pivotal level 

Ethereum Classic price shows a 31.21% gain for August at the time of writing, making it the best August performance since 2016 and, more importantly, unlocking ETC from the magnet effect of the 2018 high at $46.98 that fluctuated as support or resistance during May and June. It is was a bullish milestone for the altcoin.

One of the reasons for the noteworthy rally and convincing breakaway from $46.98 was the constructive position of Ethereum Classic price when the move began. ETC was above the 200-day SMA, the 50-week SMA and the 2020 ascending trend line. Moreover, it was not battling the downward pressure associated with a bearish Death Cross pattern.

Moving forward, Ethereum Classic price is not showing a bearish momentum divergence on any time frame at the August 15 high, suggesting that ETC can extend the rise to the 38.2% retracement at $80.75, marking a 20% gain from the current price. It becomes more complicated after $80.75 as the level is reinforced by highs in late May and lows printed on May 12 and 13. Thus, newcomers to ETC are not presented with a timely opportunity and are best served to wait for a quality pullback in time or price before opening a position.

ETC/USD daily chart

ETC/USD daily chart

The bearish alternative is that Ethereum Classic price falls below the July ascending trend line and the June 30 high of $62.45. The breakdown would project at a test of the rising 50-day SMA at $53.45, representing an almost 20% decline from the current price. However, the recent rally would still be intact.  

Ethereum Classic price structure is solid, but it should be mentioned that the cryptocurrency heavyweights, Bitcoin and Ethereum, do exhibit a bearish momentum divergence on their daily charts, presenting a possible obstacle for ETC.

Here, FXStreet's analysts evaluate where ETC could be heading next as it holds on critical support.

Author

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Independent Analyst

Sheldon has 24 years of investment experience holding various positions in companies based in the United States and Chile. His core competencies include BRIC and G-10 equity markets, swing and position trading and technical analysis.

More from Sheldon McIntyre, CMT
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs. 

Luna Classic soars 20% as Do Kwon's sentence hearing looms

Luna Classic surges 20% on Friday, extending its recovery for the fourth consecutive day. Roughly 959 million tokens have been burned in December so far, fueling LUNC's recovery.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin (BTC) is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Resistance at $94,150 capped recovery on Wednesday, but in the meantime, bulls have contained downside risks above $90,000. 

Ethereum strengthens against BTC post-Fusaka, targeting $3,200 breakout

Ethereum trades above $3,100 on Friday, with bulls aiming for a breakout above a two-month-old resistance trendline. Ethereum gains strength against Bitcoin as demand for the major altcoin increases after the Fusaka upgrade.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin (BTC) is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Resistance at $94,150 capped recovery on Wednesday, but in the meantime, bulls have contained downside risks above $90,000.