|

Dogecoin price begins consolidation after sharp reversal from resistance

  • Dogecoin price enjoying the spoils of cult status.
  • January 29 high didn’t factor in as resistance.
  • Started as a joke, DOGE providing once-in-a-lifetime returns in 2021.

Dogecoin price rallied over 120% from the ascending triangle pattern trigger price in just four days thanks to the renewed hype from leading DOGE proponents such as Mark Cuban, Elon Musk, and Guy Fieri. Yet, all attention could not overcome the 161.8% extension of the late January reversal at $0.151, turning the attention to support points for the necessary consolidation.

Dogecoin price performance is a puzzle for academics

In an FXStreet article from April 10, it was projected that a daily close above the $0.068 would unleash a “trip to the moon,” and it was, unleashing the largest 3-day gain since the massive late-January spike. 

Today, the DOGE rally has come to a halt after reaching a similar overbought reading on the daily Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) as the peak on January 2. This occurred while almost hitting the 161.8% extension of the late January drop at $0.151. 

The consolidation should find credible support at the 23.6% retracement of the rally from the January 30 low at $0.118, but the more extensive support comes at the confluence of the 50% retracement at $0.101 and the January 29 high at $0.100. The February high rests slightly below at $0.094. A daily close below that level would be the end of another celebrity-driven rally.

DOGE/USD daily chart

DOGE/USD daily chart

Speculators need to be mindful that momentum can stay overbought longer than you think. For that reason, they should note the 261.8% extension of the January decline at $0.231 as the next potential resistance level. It would represent a 50% return from today’s high.

Greater expectations for DOGE need to factor in the 361.8% extension at $0.312.

Author

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Independent Analyst

Sheldon has 24 years of investment experience holding various positions in companies based in the United States and Chile. His core competencies include BRIC and G-10 equity markets, swing and position trading and technical analysis.

More from Sheldon McIntyre, CMT
Share:

Editor's Picks

XRP and XLM outlook: Mild recovery attempts emerge amid mixed market signals

Ripple and Stellar show mild signs of recovery on Thursday after extending losses earlier this week. XRP is holding above the $1.10 level as bearish momentum begins to fade, while XLM has bounced modestly from a key support zone.

Crypto Overview: Bitcoin consolidates above $60,000  – CRV, WLFI, XMR lead gains

The broader cryptocurrency market maintains risk-off sentiment as Bitcoin lingers above $62,000. The mild recovery in BTC fails to lift the Fear and Greed Index, which at 15 continues to signal extreme fear among investors. Still certain altcoins, Curve DAO, World Liberty Financial, and Monero, have emerged as top performers over the last 24 hours.

Bitcoin faces further downside risk amid growing short-term holder losses, weak ETF demand

Bitcoin's recent decline toward the $60,000 level has pushed the market further into bearish territory, with new investors suffering huge unrealized losses, according to a Glassnode report on Wednesday. The firm noted that Bitcoin's earlier May rally now appears increasingly as a "bear bounce".

CFTC proposes framework to review terrorism, war, assassination-related contracts on prediction markets
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Wednesday proposed amendments to Regulation 40.11, seeking to establish a formal framework for reviewing prediction market contracts. The proposed framework targets contracts linked to terrorism, assassination, war, gaming, or conduct that is unlawful under federal or state law.
Bitcoin: After the bloodbath, everyone looks at $60,000
Bitcoin (BTC) hovers above $62,000 at the time of writing on Friday, weighed down by growing risk-off sentiment due to persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and sticky macroeconomic uncertainty. The institutional sell-off continued to wreak havoc on capital flows, with spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) recording billions in outflows.