|

Dogecoin price begins consolidation after sharp reversal from resistance

  • Dogecoin price enjoying the spoils of cult status.
  • January 29 high didn’t factor in as resistance.
  • Started as a joke, DOGE providing once-in-a-lifetime returns in 2021.

Dogecoin price rallied over 120% from the ascending triangle pattern trigger price in just four days thanks to the renewed hype from leading DOGE proponents such as Mark Cuban, Elon Musk, and Guy Fieri. Yet, all attention could not overcome the 161.8% extension of the late January reversal at $0.151, turning the attention to support points for the necessary consolidation.

Dogecoin price performance is a puzzle for academics

In an FXStreet article from April 10, it was projected that a daily close above the $0.068 would unleash a “trip to the moon,” and it was, unleashing the largest 3-day gain since the massive late-January spike. 

Today, the DOGE rally has come to a halt after reaching a similar overbought reading on the daily Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) as the peak on January 2. This occurred while almost hitting the 161.8% extension of the late January drop at $0.151. 

The consolidation should find credible support at the 23.6% retracement of the rally from the January 30 low at $0.118, but the more extensive support comes at the confluence of the 50% retracement at $0.101 and the January 29 high at $0.100. The February high rests slightly below at $0.094. A daily close below that level would be the end of another celebrity-driven rally.

DOGE/USD daily chart

DOGE/USD daily chart

Speculators need to be mindful that momentum can stay overbought longer than you think. For that reason, they should note the 261.8% extension of the January decline at $0.231 as the next potential resistance level. It would represent a 50% return from today’s high.

Greater expectations for DOGE need to factor in the 361.8% extension at $0.312.

Author

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Independent Analyst

Sheldon has 24 years of investment experience holding various positions in companies based in the United States and Chile. His core competencies include BRIC and G-10 equity markets, swing and position trading and technical analysis.

More from Sheldon McIntyre, CMT
Share:

Editor's Picks

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC retreats as macro headwinds grow
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, down over 4% this week and trading around $76,900 at the time of writing on Friday. Institutional demand shows signs of weakness as spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are on track to end their three-week inflow streak, recording nearly $500 million in net outflows through Thursday.
XRP falls toward key support as macro uncertainty, weak momentum cap recovery
Ripple (XRP) falls below $1.33 on Friday, marking the third consecutive day of declines. The token continues to track the broader cryptocurrency market downturn, with investors closely monitoring heightened macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) release and next week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP stabilize at lower levels amid ETF outflows and macroeconomic risks
The broader cryptocurrency market is rising on Friday, with Bitcoin (BTC) trading above $77,000 after testing lower support near $76,500. Ethereum (ETH) shows signs of stability, hovering above the support provided at $2,400 despite capped upside at $2,500. Meanwhile, Ripple (XRP) holds above $1.33 after three straight days of declines, reflecting growing headwinds due to macroeconomic uncertainty.
Bitcoin pulls back as another golden cross fails to deliver
Earlier this week, Bitcoin formed a golden cross, a technical signal that occurs when the price’s 50-day moving average rises above the 200-day moving average and is conventionally viewed as a precursor to a bullish rally. Historically, however, that’s often not been the case.
Bitcoin: BTC retreats as macro headwinds grow
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, down over 4% this week and trading around $76,900 at the time of writing on Friday. Institutional demand shows signs of weakness as spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are on track to end their three-week inflow streak, recording nearly $500 million in net outflows through Thursday.