Crypto: Just a bumpy downtrend
Market picture
The crypto market declined during the week to a total capitalisation of $2.5 trillion, a third lower than the peaks in December last year. However, towards the end of the week, we could see attempts to stabilise the market, with a rebound of $2.67 trillion.
Despite the growth attempts, only if the market breaks above its 200-day moving average will we be able to take it as a signal of a return to growth. For now, the market dynamics resemble no more than just a bumpy downtrend.
The story is similar in Bitcoin, where the bears are regaining control of the market on bounces to the $83,500 area. A 200-day moving average is near this level.
Ethereum is in a steep decline, having pulled back below $1900. At its low point, it was below $1750. It hasn't been this cheap since October 2023, losing over half of its price since its peak in mid-December.
News Backgroun
Outflows from spot bitcoin-ETFs in the US continue for the seventh day in a row, with 19 trading sessions out of 21 already.
CryptoQuant calls the range of $75,000 - 78,000 as support, which coincides with the lower boundary of the realised price. If the quotes are fixed below this zone, the $63,000 mark may become a benchmark.
Senator Cynthia Lummis introduced an updated Bitcoin Act bill in the US Senate that would allow the government to store more than 1 million bitcoins as part of a newly created crypto reserve. The US can buy 200,000 BTC each year for five years, reallocating funds from the Fed and Treasury Department.
The US SEC has extended the deadlines for several applications to launch spot ETFs based on XRP, Solana, Litecoin and Dogecoin. Bloomberg called the regulator's move ‘expected’ and in line with standard procedures.
Author
Alexander Kuptsikevich, a senior market analyst at FxPro, has been with the company since its foundation. From time to time, he gives commentaries on radio and television. He publishes in major economic and socio-political media.
