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Cardano Price Prediction: Early bulls taking on big risks in 2023

  • Cardano price settled December’s auction with a 23% loss in market value.
  • ADA has hurdled two key indicators that could aid a rally toward $0.29.
  • Invalidation of a countertrend rise is a breach below $0.25.

Cardano price has been a troublesome digital currency for long-term investors as the smart contract token continues to pack on negative returns. Although the larger time frame narrative portrays a bearish trajectory, the technicals have kept short-term bulls from attempting to make gains. 

Cardano price is in a steep downtrend

Cardano price settled December’s auction In the red, withdrawing 22% of market value from the hands of long-term investors. Since January 1, the ADA price has risen by 10%, prompting a vital question for the smart contract token. Are the early bulls correct in their outlook on Cardano, or is it likely to experience further decline?

Cardano price currently auctions at $0.2693. The bulls have successfully breached both the 8-day exponential and 21-day simple moving averages, which suggests Cardano has more upside potential, at least in the short term. A Fibonacci retracement tool surrounding December’s trading range shows ADA’s current price movement as a 38.2% correction. The move north could rally as high as the 61.8% Fib level near $0.2900 without voiding the larger bearish narrative. Thus, the correction could yield an additional 8% before bears attempt to push the downtrend further.

tm/ada/1/5/22

ADA/USDT 2-Week Chart 

Since the countertrend is still amidst a larger downtrend, traders should keep a tight stop loss to mitigate risk. Invalidation of the countertrend bullish rally idea would occur if the bears can produce a daily candlestick close beneath the recently breached 8-day exponential moving average at $0.2500. A breach of the barrier could prompt a challenge of the 2020 liquidity level at $0.2290, resulting in a 13% decrease from the current Cardano price. 

Author

Tony M.

Tony M.

FXStreet Contributor

Tony Montpeirous began investing in cryptocurrencies in 2017. His trading style incorporates Elliot Wave, Auction Market Theory, Fibonacci and price action as the cornerstone of his technical analysis.

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