- BTC/USD continues at annual volatility lows and pressure increases every minute.
- A scenario of violent rupture of key levels is becoming more likely every day.
The Bitcoin will continue to fall against the Dollar as predicted in yesterday's analysis.
The decline is not being accompanied by an increase in volatility, so it seems very complicated that the BTC/USD can fall sharply. This continuous decrease in volatility makes it very likely that the situation will be resolved violently since the accumulation of all types of buy and sell orders in ever narrower ranges will act as fuel when the BTC/USD decides where to go.
Again I apply a trend line analysis but today from a longer-term approach.
Do you want to know more about my technical setup?
BTC/USD 1D
The first thing that catches the attention of the graph is how, despite the relative strength shown recently by the Bitcoin, it remains in a weak area with a strong bearish profile.
In order to get out of this quadrant and move through one with a bullish profile, the BTC/USD needs to overcome the trend line that passes today for $6,613. It is close, very close, but seeing the last days of the BTC/USD, it seems quite far away.
The bearish side of the chart provides two supports to keep in mind. The first at the price level of $6,296 (price congestion support) and the second at $6,189 (price congestion support). If this second support is lost, the BTC/USD would not find a reliable support, possibly down to the long-term bearish trend line currently passing through the $5.739 price level.
Looking to the medium and long-term, weekly closings below $6,172 and monthly closings below $6,385 would open a scenario of new annual lows.
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