|

Bitcoin consolidates, dash outperforms in quiet crypto session: Crypto markets today

  • Volatility across major CoinDesk indices remained muted, with bitcoin holding above the crucial $94,500 breakout level despite subdued price action.
  • Dash (DASH) outperformed the market, rising 15% on the day and extending its weekly gain to 141% while most other altcoins cooled.
  • Altcoins showed relative resilience versus major cryptocurrencies, with the CoinDesk 80 Index edging higher even as traders await a catalyst from U.S. markets and global political tensions.

Volatility in the crypto market came to a grinding halt on Friday with all of the major CoinDesk indexes moving by less than 1% since midnight UTC.

The damping comes as Bitcoin, crucially, remains higher than $94,500, the level it broke out above earlier this week after being confined to range-bound trading since November.

Zcash, APT, and polygon (POL) all posted marginal declines, while dash, a privacy-focused payments token, continued its barnstorming start to the year by rising 15% to add a 141% surge over the past week.

The market is now awaiting its next catalyst as political turmoil in Iran and Venezuela put crypto's "safe haven" narrative back on the map, demonstrating by divergence between crypto and U.S. equities, which lagged behind the likes of BTC and ETH this week.

Derivatives positioning

  • Exchanges have liquidated close to $240 million in leveraged crypto futures bets. The market-wide futures open interest has pulled back to $143 billion from $146 billion, a sign of pause in demand for leveraged products.
  • BTC's volatility meltdown continues. Volmex's 30-day implied volatility gauge is now pricing around a 2.5% average daily move over four weeks.
  • ETH's 30-day implied volatility dropped to its lowest since early 2024.
  • ZEC's futures open interest dropped by 14% in 24 hours, leading capital outflows in almost all major tokens, including bitcoin, ether, solana and XRP. Monero stands out with an 8% increase in open interest.
  • ZEC's annualized funding rates crashed to -50%, a sign of heightened demand for bearish, short positions. It also points to overcrowding in bearish plays, which often sets the stage for a short squeeze higher.
  • Block flows in the options market featured a large short position in bitcoin's $112,000 call expiring on Feb. 6. It could have been raised against a long position in the spot market, a covered call strategy aimed at generating additional yield on top of the spot market holding.
  • In ETH's case, block flows featured a bias for the iron condor strategy, which is used to profit from a rangebound market.

Token talk

  • DASH led the way once again on Friday, rising more than 15% since midnight UTC while the rest of the altcoin market remained cool after experiencing a period of upside at the start of the week.
  • This could be viewed as a positive for the broader altcoin market as DASH was the early mover during Asia trading on Tuesday, hours before the rest of the market staged a breakout.
  • XTZ also showed strength, jumping by 8.3% from a morning low of $0.57 to $0.62.
  • The CoinDesk 80 Index (CD80), which tracks a wider basket of altcoins, is in the black by 0.68% since midnight while the CoinDesk 20 (CD20) is little changed, indicating relative strength among altcoins while the majors consolidate.
  • Traders will be keeping an eye on the U.S. market open to see if traditional markets could spark some volatility heading into the weekend — typically a period of low volume and liquidity.

Author

CoinDesk Analysis Team

CoinDesk is the media platform for the next generation of investors exploring how cryptocurrencies and digital assets are contributing to the evolution of the global financial system.

More from CoinDesk Analysis Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

Cardano Price Forecast: Weak momentum puts ADA recovery at risk

Cardano is trading below $0.222 on Thursday after failing to sustain gains above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average near $0.228 the previous day. Weakening derivatives metrics and fading bullish momentum continue to weigh on sentiment, while a break below the 100-day EMA could push ADA lower. Derivatives data shows a cautious outlook for Cardano.

Ripple and Stellar outlook: XRP and XLM recovery stalls below EMAs

Ripple and Stellar remain under pressure on Thursday as both struggle to sustain their recent recovery attempts. XRP trades below $1.36, while XLM slips beneath $0.183, as mixed derivatives metrics, weakening momentum indicators and heating market conditions suggest cautious market sentiment. Derivatives data shows weakening conditions for Ripple and Stellar.

Zcash Price Forecast: ZEC reclaims $1,300 as ETF inflow hits 30-day high

Zcash price hovers above $1,300 on Thursday, sustaining its 15% gains so far this week with three straight days of recovery. Institutional and retail appeal is returning, with over $15 million in inflows recorded on Wednesday and ZEC futures Open Interest rising to a 30-day high of $2.89 billion. The technical outlook for ZEC indicates an upside bias as recovery gains traction.

Bitcoin derivatives improve, but $87,000 sell wall looms
Bitcoin (BTC) showed signs of recovery on Wednesday as derivatives positioning improved, but sell risk grew between $86,500 and $87,500, where sell orders and leveraged liquidation clusters could limit further gains.
Bitcoin: Macroeconomic headwinds, cooling demand cap BTC gains
Bitcoin (BTC) extends losses this week, trading below $82,500 as of Friday as selling pressure continues. Weakening institutional demand supports this pullback as BTC spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) are on track to record a two-week withdrawal streak, reaching $146.19 million in net outflows through Thursday.