|

Bitcoin and Ethereum price prediction for today: BTC/USD key level at $10.600, ETH/USD looking at $740

  • Bitcoin and Ethereum are trading in a compression scenario, trapped between important supports and a bunch of moving averages
  • Low trend levels and the compression scenario increase the chances of a sudden spike of volatility when the current scenario vanishes

The factors that are tightening the ranges in Bitcoin, Ethereum and other Cryptos keep increasing. The main two Cryptocurrencies are trapped between vital supports to keep bullish hopes alive in the mid-term and some short-term moving averages that don't leave much room for price movements.

 

BTC/USD 1H chart

BTC/USD

BTC/USD is trading around $9100 to start the European morning, right around a technical landscape that contains the price between barriers on both sides. This is a typical scenario when volatility is diminishing progressively. Bitcoin price is inside a triangular formation, inside a range between $10600 and $8400 that has been respected since last March 7th.

Moving averages have been closing on the price in the 1-hour charts and are now stuck to it, making any price movement very difficult.

On the upside, the 100-SMA is at $9198, followed by the 50-EMA at $9213. Just above there, at $9242, we can find a trendline that comes from last March 7th. The 200-SMA is now set at $9600 and just above that level will the BTC/USD be able to make an up-move with room to grow.

On the downside, immediate support is at $8950, and if that is not respected it will take the price immediately back to $8930, the range low.

MACD in the Bitcoin 1-hour chart is trading just above the neutral line, with a horizontal profile that indicates the price compression during the last sessions. The indicator doesn't bring much more information now.

Directional Movement Index shows an ADX at lows, confirming the lack of trend strength. A slight edge for the sellers, but it doesn't seem important if the directionality doesn't pick up.

ETH/USD 1H chart

ETH/USD

The Ethereum 1-hour chart is another example of the price compression and low volatility. ETH price has been locked in a range between $640 and $740 since last March 9th. This range, bigger than 10%, would be meaningful in any traditional asset, but in the Crypto sphere looks like a paltry one.

ETH/USD has multiple supports, the first one just below the current price, at $686. That is followed by other key levels at $680 and $660. If that level surrendered, the last one would be found at $640.

On the upside, it's again the 100-SMA and the 50-EMA the ones setting resistances at $704 and $697 each one. If Ethereum was able to break above these barriers, next meaningful level would be the 200-SMA at $730.

MACD in the Ethereum 1-hour chart is trading in the same situation than the Bitcoin one, moving a bit below the equilibrium line. There's not many more information about the trend in the upcoming periods.

Directional Movement Index is also showing an ADX at lows, with a certain recovery in the last hour. The D+ and D- indicators show the edge for the sellers over the buyers.

Author

Tomas Salles

Tomas Salles

FXStreet

Tomàs Sallés was born in Barcelona in 1972, he is a certified technical analyst after having completing specialized courses in Spain and Switzerland.

More from Tomas Salles
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Solana dips as hawkish Fed cuts dampen market sentiment
Solana (SOL) price is trading below $130 at the time of writing on Thursday, after being rejected at the upper boundary of its falling wedge pattern. The broader market weakness following the Federal Reserve’s hawkish rate cut has added to downside momentum.
Pi Network Price Forecast: PI declines as core team offloads 2 million tokens

Pi Network (PI) edges lower by 3% at press time on Thursday, marking its fifth consecutive day of losses. A transfer of 2 million PI tokens from the liquidity reserve, part of the Pi core team wallets, bolsters the bearish sentiment.

Cardano Price Forecast: ADA flips bearish as derivatives markets flout network growth

Cardano (ADA) extends losses by 5% at press time on Thursday, following the 3% decline on the previous day and breaking the local resistance trendline. Derivatives data indicate a bearish shift in the narrative, as Open Interest and the number of active long positions decline.

Sei Price Forecast: SEI slips despite volume surge as Xiaomi partnership boosts adoption outlook

Sei (SEI) price trades in red, below $0.137 at the time of writing on Thursday, after retesting its key resistance level the previous day. Despite the pullback, on-chain data and market sentiment remain bullish.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin (BTC) is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Resistance at $94,150 capped recovery on Wednesday, but in the meantime, bulls have contained downside risks above $90,000.