|

Bears attempt to push Avalanche’s AVAX over a cliff for a 35% correction

  • AVAX price faces a reaction from bearish divergence in its oscillators.
  • Bulls may be waiting to enter at a powerful support zone that combines Fibonacci and Ichimoku levels.
  • Retracements before the holiday season are normal.
AVAX price opened the week very strong with a new all-time high and after hitting the much sought-after $100 price level. Since hitting those two milestones, however, AVAX has plummeted more than 16% from the new high. Unfortunately for bulls, prices look like they will continue moving south.

AVAX price to extend losses a further 35% from the all-time high

AVAX price has consistently found support against the weekly Tenkan-Sen, currently at $76.50. Since first crossing above the weekly Tenkan-Sen in the week of August 13th, 2021, AVAX has never tested the Kijun-Sen. Given the current candlestick pattern developing, there is a real threat that the Tenkan-Sen will fail as a support level.
 
Market participants are likely looking at the $55 value area as the next primary support level for AVAX. This is because the weekly Kijun-Sen, 50% Fibonacci retracement and a high volume node in the 2021 volume profile all exist within the $55 price range. If AVAX price moves to $55, that would represent a 45% drop from the all-time high. That may sound like a lot, but the move is within the average percentage retracement range for altcoins.
AVAX/USDT Weekly Ichimoku Chart
 
Bulls and bears will want to monitor how AVAX price responds if it gets closer to the Tenkan-Sen. Any sustained and robust support at the Tenkan-Sen will invalidate any deeper bearish projections. If support holds at the Tenkan-Sen, then AVAX will likely continue its current trend of moving higher. 

Author

Jonathan Morgan

Jonathan Morgan

Independent Analyst

Jonathan has been working as an Independent future, forex, and cryptocurrency trader and analyst for 8 years. He also has been writing for the past 5 years.

More from Jonathan Morgan
Share:

Editor's Picks

XRP consolidates as inflows and volume climb
Ripple (XRP) retains a slightly bullish outlook on Wednesday despite logging a minor correction from the supply range near $1.15. The remittance token is down 0.5% on the day, reflecting a broader cryptocurrency market drawdown, primarily driven by persistent geopolitical tensions between the United States (US) and Iran in the Middle East.
Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC recovery holds as ETF inflows persist
Bitcoin (BTC) trades slightly lower around $66,000 on Wednesday as tensions in the Middle East escalate further. Still, the Crypto King is up over 2.5% so far this week.
South Korea crypto volumes shrink as retail investors shift to stocks
South Korea’s major crypto exchanges have seen their trading activity fall sharply over the past year as the country’s stock market surged, suggesting retail speculative interest may be shifting toward equities, Cointelegraph analysis shows.
Hyperliquid, Robinhood could lead crypto’s next bull market as DeFi and TradFi converge

The next crypto bull market could be driven by the growing convergence between blockchain-based financial infrastructure and traditional finance, according to Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan. In a report published late Tuesday, Hougan argued that crypto may be showing early signs of a market bottom, with Bitcoin gaining 9% since July 1 even as the NASDAQ 100 declined 6%.

Bitcoin’s potential recovery in the second half hinges on these 4 catalysts
Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen over 34% in the first half of this year as the King Crypto failed to capitalize on a good semester for risk assets despite the woes from the Iran war.