|

AVAX price could present another buying opportunity despite 424% gains in under two months

  • AVAX price has registered a whopping 424% gain in just 56 days. 
  • This rally is likely to see a quick retracement to key support levels – $41.54, $37.79, $34.34 or $34.04.
  • Invalidation of the bullish thesis will occur if Avalanche produces a weekly candlestick close below $20.68.

Avalanche (AVAX) price shows exhaustion on both the higher and lower time frames. Investors can expect the next week to start with a correction that will be a buying opportunity before AVAX price kickstarts its next leg. 

Also read: AVAX price is at an inflection point as Avalanche fills three-day FVG

AVAX price likely to pause its uptrend

AVAX price set up a local top this week at $45.53 and currently trades at $42.13. The uptrend that led to this move created an imbalance on the weekly chart, extending from $31.60 to $22.74. This surge in buying pressure is likely to stay flat until next week, which would push Avalanche price into consolidation and likely tag the aforementioned imbalance. This range is a key area for long-term holders to accumulate. 

Despite rallying 424% in just 56 days, AVAX price has not even retested the $57.09, which is midpoint of the 86% crash witnessed between March and June 2022. Hence, an intervention of the sidelined buyers could catalyze , AVAX price to kickstart the second leg of the uptrend and tag $57.09.

From the imbalance’s upper limit of $31.60, this move would constitute roughly 80% gain. 

In a highly bullish case, where Bitcoin price does not retrace 20% to 30%, altcoins are going ot enjoy prolonged bull rally. This would mean AVAX price could extend the rally and tag 62% and 70% retracement levels at $66.92 and $73.86, respecitvely. 

AVAX/USDT 1-week chart

AVAX/USDT 1-week chart

Avalanche bulls likely to remain flat in the short-term 

The one-hour chart of AVAX price shows it is hovering between two key support levels $42.26 and $41.54. A flip of the latter barrier into a resistance level would confirm that bulls are taking a break. In such a case, Avalanche price would likely consolidate between the $41.54 to $34.05 range. 

This sideways could see AVAX price revisit the range’s midpoint at $37.79 or even sweep the range low at $34.05. In extreme cases, patient buyers could get an opportunity to accumulate at the sweep of the equal lows formed around $31.31. 

Interestingly, this level coincides closely with the weekly imbalance’s upper limit at $31.60, making it a high probability reversal zone. 

Read more: Avalanche Price Prediction: AVAX could rally 40% if it overcomes this barrier

AVAX/USDT 1-hour chart

AVAX/USDT 1-hour chart

On the other hand, if AVAX price produces a weekly candlestick close below $20.68, it would create a lower low and break the bullish market structure. This move would invalidate the bullish thesis, allowing bears to target a retest of the support level at roughly $12.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Editor's Picks

XRP Price Prediction: XRP tests major support at $1.00
Ripple (XRP) remains pressured on Friday, trading around $1.03 at the time of writing. The token appears to hold this current level as support but lacks a catalyst to sustain a knee-jerk rebound toward the next key resistance at $1.10.
Top AI Coins Forecast: Chainlink, Near Protocol and Bittensor broadly stabilize after sell-off
The cryptocurrency market is stabilizing on Friday as prospects for de-escalation in Middle East geopolitical tensions improve. Artificial Intelligence (AI)-focused tokens such as Chainlink (LINK), Near Protocol (NEAR), and Bittensor (TAO) continue to face selling pressure, yet are defending key technical support levels.
Bitcoin’s volatility has nearly disappeared – The risk hasn’t
Spot Bitcoin ETFs are yet to see outflows this month, bringing in $754 million in the first week of August. Yet, Bitcoin remains steady at $64,700, while options flow favors protection at $62,000 and $63,000. The opposing signals point to a market with a spot bid but limited conviction.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum hold steady, XRP decline nears $1.00 amid easing geopolitical tensions
Cryptocurrency prices are relatively stable on Friday, with Bitcoin (BTC) edging higher above the immediate $64,000 support. Ethereum (ETH) holds fairly above the short-term $1,900 demand area, as bulls target a potential breakout. Meanwhile, Ripple (XRP) maintains a dominant bearish outlook, edging lower toward the crucial $1.00 support.
Bitcoin: Can bulls weather the market uncertainty?
Bitcoin (BTC) remains resilient, trading above $65,000 on Friday, with bulls defending key support despite cautious market sentiment. US-listed spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) showed strong inflows through Thursday, pointing to renewed institutional demand.