|

AVAX price could present another buying opportunity despite 424% gains in under two months

  • AVAX price has registered a whopping 424% gain in just 56 days. 
  • This rally is likely to see a quick retracement to key support levels – $41.54, $37.79, $34.34 or $34.04.
  • Invalidation of the bullish thesis will occur if Avalanche produces a weekly candlestick close below $20.68.

Avalanche (AVAX) price shows exhaustion on both the higher and lower time frames. Investors can expect the next week to start with a correction that will be a buying opportunity before AVAX price kickstarts its next leg. 

Also read: AVAX price is at an inflection point as Avalanche fills three-day FVG

AVAX price likely to pause its uptrend

AVAX price set up a local top this week at $45.53 and currently trades at $42.13. The uptrend that led to this move created an imbalance on the weekly chart, extending from $31.60 to $22.74. This surge in buying pressure is likely to stay flat until next week, which would push Avalanche price into consolidation and likely tag the aforementioned imbalance. This range is a key area for long-term holders to accumulate. 

Despite rallying 424% in just 56 days, AVAX price has not even retested the $57.09, which is midpoint of the 86% crash witnessed between March and June 2022. Hence, an intervention of the sidelined buyers could catalyze , AVAX price to kickstart the second leg of the uptrend and tag $57.09.

From the imbalance’s upper limit of $31.60, this move would constitute roughly 80% gain. 

In a highly bullish case, where Bitcoin price does not retrace 20% to 30%, altcoins are going ot enjoy prolonged bull rally. This would mean AVAX price could extend the rally and tag 62% and 70% retracement levels at $66.92 and $73.86, respecitvely. 

AVAX/USDT 1-week chart

AVAX/USDT 1-week chart

Avalanche bulls likely to remain flat in the short-term 

The one-hour chart of AVAX price shows it is hovering between two key support levels $42.26 and $41.54. A flip of the latter barrier into a resistance level would confirm that bulls are taking a break. In such a case, Avalanche price would likely consolidate between the $41.54 to $34.05 range. 

This sideways could see AVAX price revisit the range’s midpoint at $37.79 or even sweep the range low at $34.05. In extreme cases, patient buyers could get an opportunity to accumulate at the sweep of the equal lows formed around $31.31. 

Interestingly, this level coincides closely with the weekly imbalance’s upper limit at $31.60, making it a high probability reversal zone. 

Read more: Avalanche Price Prediction: AVAX could rally 40% if it overcomes this barrier

AVAX/USDT 1-hour chart

AVAX/USDT 1-hour chart

On the other hand, if AVAX price produces a weekly candlestick close below $20.68, it would create a lower low and break the bullish market structure. This move would invalidate the bullish thesis, allowing bears to target a retest of the support level at roughly $12.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Editor's Picks

Top 3 Price Prediction: BTC recovers, Ethereum clings to support, XRP consolidates

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple begin the week on a steadier footing after correcting by nearly 4%, 2%, and 6% respectively, in the previous week. BTC is attempting a modest recovery, trading above $64,500 on Monday, while ETH continues to defend the crucial $1,700 support level.

Aave founder outlines plan to bring multi-trillion-dollar securities market onchain with V4

Lending protocol Aave founder Stani Kulechov revealed a proposal to bring the multi-trillion-dollar securities market onto blockchain infrastructure, according to a blog post on Friday.

Ethereum Price Forecast: Impending funding crisis could put Ethereum at risk

Ethereum developers could face a "slow-burning funding crisis" in the coming months following the depletion of the Ethereum Foundation treasury and the expiration of the Client Incentive Program, according to former EF contributor Trent VanEpps.

Bitcoin's weakening sell pressure hints at possible market bottom — CryptoQuant
Bitcoin (BTC) may be approaching the final stages of its current correction as selling pressure eases, according to a CryptoQuant report on Thursday. The report noted that the current phase of realized losses differs significantly from the first major sell-off earlier this year. The data suggests that many panic sellers may have already exited the market.
Bitcoin: Recovery hopes fade after the Fed spoils the party
Bitcoin (BTC) is set to end the week in the red, trading near the 200-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA) at around $62,300 on Friday. Institutional selling persists, capping BTC’s recovery as spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) point to a sixth consecutive week of outflows.