USDJPY: Riding Downtrend Channel


Edging lower.

  • EUR/USD bullish pressures are still on despite ongoing consolidation. Hourly resistance is given at 1.1910 (02/08/2017 high). Hourly support can be found at 1.1715 (08/08/2017 high). Stronger support lies at 1.1613 (26/07/2017 low). Expected to show renewed bullish pressures.

  • In the longer term, the momentum is now turning largely positive. We favour a continued bullish bias. Key resistance holding at 1.1871 (24/08/2015 high) has been broken while strong support lies at 1.0341 (03/01/2017 low).

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Monitoring support at 1.2933.

  • GBP/USD keeps on weakening. Hourly resistance is given at 1.3267 (03/08/2017 high). Hourly support is given at 1.2933 (20/07/2017 low). Expected to show further monitoring of support at 1.2933.

  • The long-term technical pattern is even more negative since the Brexit vote has paved the way for further decline. Long-term support given at 1.0520 (01/03/85) represents a decent target. Long-term resistance is given at 1.5018 (24/06/2015) and would indicate a long-term reversal in the negative trend. Yet, it is very unlikely at the moment.




Riding downtrend channel.

  • USD/JPY's bearish momentum continues. The pair has failed to break resistance implied by the upper bound of the downtrend channel. The pair is heading towards 108.83 (17/04/2017 low). Expected to show further downside pressures.

  • We favor a long-term bearish bias. Support is now given at 96.57 (10/08/2013 low). A gradual rise towards the major resistance at 135.15 (01/02/2002 high) seems absolutely unlikely. Expected to decline further support at 93.79 (13/06/2013 low).


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