USDJPY: Bearish breakout

Yann Quelenn Swissquote Bank Ltd

EUR/USD

Continued weakness.

EUR/USD keeps on weakening. The pair is now retracing after reaching resistance given at 1.2092 (08/09/2017 high). The road is wide-open for further decline towards support at 1.1812 (25/12/2017 low). Stronger support is given a distance at 1.1718 (12/12/2017 low).
In the longer term, the momentum is now turning largely positive. We favour a continued bullish bias. Key resistance is holding at 1.2252 (25/12/2014 high) while strong support lies at 1.0341 (03/01/2017 low).

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GBP/USD

Riding lower within uptrend channel.

GBP/USD's selling pressures are increasing. However, the pair still lies in an uptrend channel. The technical structure indicates further shortterm potential downside. Hourly support is given at a distance at 1.3304 (12/12/2017 low) while hourly resistance can be found at 1.3657 (20/09/2017 high).
The long-term technical pattern is reversing. The Brexit vote had paved the way for further decline. Long-term support can be found at 1.1841 (07/10/2017 low). Long-term resistance given around 1.35 is at stake and indicates a long-term reversal in the negative trend. Yet, it is very unlikely at the moment.

USD/JPY

Bearish breakout.

USD/JPY's selling demand is pushing lower and the pair has broken hourly support given at 111.99 (15/12/2017 low). Hourly resistance can be found at 113.75 (12/12/2017 high). The technical structure suggests further short-term downside moves.
We favor a long-term bearish bias. Support is now given at 99.02 (10/08/2013 low). A gradual rise towards the major resistance at 125.86 (05/06/2015 high) seems unlikely. Expected to decline further support at 93.79 (13/06/2013 low).

Author

Yann Quelenn

Swissquote Bank Ltd

Yann Quelenn is a Market Analyst at Swissquote Bank with strong technical and financial background. Previously, he worked as FX Trader at Banque Privée Edmond de Rothschild and as Portfolio Manager at Polaris Investment in Luxembourg.

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