|premium|

USD/JPY Forecast: Bears hold the grip

USD/JPY Current price: 108.72

  • US Treasury yields set the tone for USD/JPY as stocks struggle for direction.
  • The American dollar is the weakest after terrible employment figures.
  • USD/JPY is at risk of falling further and pierce the 108.00 level.

The USD/JPY pair trades around 108.70, up for the day and moving alongside US government bond yields. Nevertheless, the dollar is the weakest currency across the board, under pressure against most major rivals after the release of an awful employment report on Friday.

Stocks kick-started the week with a positive tone, but the momentum faded heading into London’s opening, with European indexes trading mixed. Meanwhile, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note hovers around 1.58%, holding on to modest intraday gains. The macroeconomic calendar has no impact on the pair this Monday, as neither Japan nor the US have relevant figures to offer.

USD/JPY short-term technical outlook

The USD/JPY pair is at risk of falling further. The 4-hour chart shows that the pair met sellers around a bearish 20 SMA, which extends its decline below the 200 SMA. A flat 100 SMA  provides support at 108.65. Technical indicators have turned south within negative levels, indicating persistent selling interest.  

Support levels: 108.65 108.25 107.90

Resistance levels: 109.25 109.70 110.10  

View Live Chart for the USD/JPY 

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD loses momentum, flirts with 1.3200

GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its positive bias on Thursday, retreating toward the 1.3200 region in response to the pick in the buying interest around the Greenback. That said, Cable remains under scrutiny as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and political effervescence in the UK.

EUR/USD trims gains, challenges 1.1400

EUR/USD now gives away part of its earlier advance, receding toward the 1.1400 contention zone on Thursday. Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery comes amid extra losses in the US Dollar, at the time when while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin at $60,000, Ethereum at $1,500, and XRP at $1 face a make-or-break test

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red on Friday after three consecutive days of losses, testing their respective make-or-break support levels.

Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.