|

USD/JPY analysis: unable to react to peripheral markets' clues

USD/JPY Current price: 107.25

  • Japan to release National inflation figures this Friday, no big surprises expected.
  • Firmer US data and rising treasury yields offset by a sharp decline in equities.

The USD/JPY pair traded as high as 107.51 at the beginning of the day, and hold on to gains for most of the past sessions, backed by rising US Treasury yields. The sour tone of US equities, however, offset the positive clues coming from the bond market, as longer-term yields neared yearly highs, keeping the upside limited for the pair. Despite holding above 107.00, the USD/JPY pair has been in a steady consolidative phase pretty much since the month begun, and while the downward pressure clearly eased, bulls are not yet ready to jump back in. There were no relevant macroeconomic releases in Japan, but US  data was generally encouraging, not enough, however, to beat the cautious mood of USD/JPY traders. During the upcoming Asian session, Japan will release its National March inflation figures, seen in-line with previous readings and hardly a game changer for the BOJ. The 4 hours chart, shows that the pair is holding above a daily ascendant trend line coming from April's low at 106.65, also developing above bullish moving averages, but with technical indicators gaining downward traction around their mid-lines, overall maintaining upside limited rather than favoring a downward move.

Support levels: 107.10 106.80 106.50   

Resistance levels: 107.50 107.85 108.20  

View Live Chart for the USD/JPY

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD surrenders some gains, back to 1.3420

GBP/USD holds on to moderate gains above 1.3400 the figure on Friday. Optimism surrounding the UK government’s leadership transition and expectations of further BoE tightening support the British Pound, while easing tensions in the Middle East and fading Fed rate-hike expectations weigh on the US Dollar.

EUR/USD turns positive, targets 1.1450

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances toward the 1.1440 region on Friday, up modestly for the day. With no major economic data due, lingering uncertainty over the US-Iran conflict keeps investors cautious, limiting the pair's upside.

Gold remains offered, still below $4,100

Gold struggles to extend Thursday’s rebound and navigates below the $4,100 mark per troy ounce on Friday. Uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict limits the precious metal’s upside, which is also under pressure amid rising US Treasury yields across the curve.

Week ahead – US CPI and Warsh testimony to take centre stage, BoC eyed too

US inflation report and Warsh testimony to headline the week. Dollar to dominate amid slew of other US data and Mideast tensions. Amid fresh Iran escalation, China GDP to shed light on Q2 impact. Bank of Canada not expected to follow RBNZ with rate hike.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.