|

USD/JPY analysis: range bound, but bears ready to jump back in

USD/JPY Current price: 111.17

  • Yen refuses to ease despite rallies in equities and stronger yields.
  • USD/JPY could resume its bearish trend on renewed pressure below 111.00.

The USD/JPY pair saw little action for a third consecutive day, confined to a 40 pips range around the 111.00 figure. Mixed signs keep investors away from the pair, as, in one hand, the dollar was broadly weaker, but in the other, equities and yields rose. US indexes were sharply up ahead of the opening, retreated in the American afternoon, but managed to remain afloat. Yields, meanwhile were sharply up, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury note peaking at 2.89% to settle at 2.88%. Japan will open its macroeconomic calendar this Wednesday by releasing the August Consumer Confidence Index, seen at 43.4 from the previous 43.5. The pair maintains a mildly bearish tone, as attempts to recover ground were again contained between the 200 SMA in the 4 hours chart, currently at 111.30, and the highs from last week at around 111.50. In the same chart, indicators hold around their midlines with no clear directional strength. The 100 SMA heads modestly lower below the weekly lows, at around 110.85, offering a short-term dynamic support.

Support levels: 110.85 110.55 110.20

Resistance levels: 111.50 111.85 112.20

View Live Chart for the USD/JPY

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.