|

USD/JPY analysis: fresh yearly highs and counting

USD/JPY Current price: 114.39

  • US Treasury yields hit multi-year highs following solid US data.
  • Wall Street extends rally, DJIA at unchartered territory.

The USD/JPY pair reached fresh 2018 highs on broad dollar's strength and as US Treasury yields soared, with the  yield on the 10-year Treasury note hitting 3.17%, its highest level since July 2011, a result of solid US data, which also boosted American indexes, sending the DJIA closer to the 27,000 threshold. Adding pressure on the JPY was the Japanese Nikkei Services PMI, which fell to 50.2 in September, its lowest reading in two years and barely holding in expansionary territory. There won't be relevant macroeconomic releases in the country this Thursday.

Trading near its daily high of 114.44, the pair is poised to extend its advance according to technical readings in the 4 hours chart, as not only the pair gained upward momentum, but also moving averages which anyway remain well below the current level. The Momentum indicator bounced strongly after flirting with its 100 level, while the RSI maintains its bullish slope despite having entered overbought territory. The next big hurdle comes at the 114.70/80 area, where the pair set monthly highs at the end of 2017.

Support levels: 114.05 113.70 113.35

Resistance levels: 114.75 115.00 115.30

View Live Chart for the USD/JPY

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains sidelined around 1.1600

EUR/USD clings to its decent gains on Monday and continues to move in a consolidative mood around the 1.1600 region. Improved risk appetite following the US-Iran agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz continues to weigh on the US Dollar, lending support to the risk complex. Looking ahead, investors are likely to remain on the sidelines ahead of Wednesday's FOMC meeting.

GBP/USD retreats from tops, back to 1.3420

GBP/USD keeps its advance past the 1.3400 yardstick at the beginning of the week. In the meantime, Cable continues to draw support from improved market sentiment following reports that the US and Iran have reached a framework agreement aimed at ending the conflict and reopening the Strait of Hormuz.

Gold stays firm, still below $4,400

Gold builds on its recent gains on Monday, climbing well north of the $4,300 mark per troy ounce. The yellow metal benefits from renewed selling pressure on the Greenback as investors reassess the implications of the US-Iran agreement to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Market participants now turn their attention to Wednesday's FOMC gathering.


Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP recovery gathers strength as US-Iran reach peace agreement

Cryptocurrency prices remain broadly elevated on Monday, led by Bitcoin’s upswing toward $66,000. Altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, mirror Bitcoin’s momentum, trading above $1,700 and $1.18.

Indonesia may have stabilised the Rupiah, but the bigger fight is not over

Bank Indonesia’s emergency rate hike has bought the Rupiah some time, but the currency’s hesitant response suggests it has not yet restored confidence. Can higher interest rates solve the Rupiah’s problem, or do the country’s challenges run deeper?

4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.