|

USD/JPY analysis: extends rebound as US yields rise

USD/JPY Current Price: 1.2691

The Japanese yen was among the worst performers on Wednesday. An improvement in risk sentiment and a decline in US bonds weakened the currency significantly. Still, the slide was limited ahead of a key event for risk sentiment: the G20 meeting. Rate cuts from the Federal Reserve are expected but not as aggressively as yesterday. Comments from Bullard and Powell tampered expectations and triggered a rebound in US yields. The 10-year rose from below 2% to 2.05% supporting the rally in USD/JPY. The pair had the best performance in two months and closed far from the 107.20 area for the first time in five days. During the Asian session, retail sales data will be released in Japan, while in the US, market participants are likely to focus on the Q1 GDP revision.

Technically, USD/JPY run into an active resistance area at 107.80/90 that capped the upside. Ahead of the Asian session, some consolidation and a pullback could take place considering that the gains seen on Wednesday were the biggest in months. The 107.50 zone is the immediate support, and far below comes 107.05. Below the last one, the bearish pressure will likely intensify. The 4-hour chart shows the pair with a clear bullish bias in line with technical indicators. A breakout above 107.80 could boost the greenback back above 108.00, targeting 108.30.

Support levels: 107.00 106.75 106.50

Resistance levels: 107.90 108.40 108.70

View Live Chart for the USD/JPY

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.