USD/JPY Current price: 107.88
- Japanese trade surplus larger-than-anticipated in June amid a sharp decline in imports.
- Risk-off dominates the financial world amid renewed trade war concerns.
- USD/JPY to resume its decline on a break below 107.52, this month low.
The American dollar remained under pressure at the beginning of the day, with the Japanese Yen making the most out of it, as risk-averse sentiment led the way. The USD/JPY pair fell to 107.61 amid renewed trade fears boosting demand for safe-haven assets. US government debt yields fell sharply, with the benchmark yield on the 10-year note currently at 2.05%, trimming last week’s gains. Equities are a sea of red worldwide, following big names missing earnings forecast, adding fuel to the fire.
Japan released overnight June trade data. The Merchandise Trade Balance Total printed a larger-than-expected surplus of ¥589.5B, as a result of an unexpected drop in imports, down by 5.2% when compared to a year earlier. Exports also declined by more-than-anticipated, falling by 6.7% in the same period. The US will publish today weekly unemployment data for the week ended July 12, and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey for July, seen at 5.0 vs. the previous 0.3. Later in the day, Fed’s Bostic and Fed’s Williams will speak in separated events.
USD/JPY short-term technical outlook
The USD/JPY pair has bounced from the mentioned low, but remains in the red for the day, anyway bearish according to short-term technical readings. In the 4 hours chart, the 20 SMA extends its decline below the larger ones, all of them above the current level. The Momentum indicator has recovered modestly but remains below its 100 line, while the RSI bounced from near oversold levels, but remains well into negative territory. July’s low at 107.52 is now the immediate support with a break below the level opening doors for a test of 106.77, June’s low.
Support levels: 107.50 107.10 106.75
Resistance levels: 108.00 108.40 108.80
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD drops below 1.0800 after German Retail Sales data
EUR/USD has come under fresh selling pressure and trades below 1.0800 after the data from Germany showed that Retail Sales declined by 1.9% MoM in February. Resurgent US Dollar demand is adding to the downside in the pair. US data are next in focus.
GBP/USD stays weak near 1.2600 amid market caution
GBP/USD remains defensive near 1.2600 in European trading on Thursday. The hawkish tone from Fed Governor Christopher Waller keeps the US Dollar afloat amid a cautious trading environment ahead of key US data releases and the Good Friday trading lull.
Gold price holds strength ahead of US core PCE inflation
Gold price holds onto gains near $2,200 in Thursday’s European session. The precious metal exhibits firm footing ahead of the United States core PCE Price Index data for February, which will be published on Friday.
XRP price falls to $0.60 support as Ripple ruling doesn’t help Coinbase lawsuit against SEC
XRP programmatic sales ruling by Judge Torres was completely rejected by another US Court that ruled in favor of the SEC in a lawsuit against Coinbase.
Portfolio rebalancing and reflation trades emerge into Q2
Yesterday’s price action pointed at a possible end-of-quarter portfolio rebalancing as the session saw the laggards of the quarter like Apple and Tesla gain, and the stars like Microsoft and Nvidia retreat.