|

USD/CHF Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

USD/CHF Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Bearish Trend.

  • Mode: Impulsive.

  • Structure: Orange Wave 3.

  • Position: Navy Blue Wave 3.

  • Next higher degree direction: Continuation of Orange Wave 3.

  • Wave cancel invalid level: 0.90367.

The Elliott Wave analysis for USDCHF on the daily chart outlines a technical view of the current market condition and likely direction. The analysis identifies a bearish market trend, represented by an impulsive pattern rather than a corrective one. The primary focus is on orange wave 3, which belongs to a broader sequence and currently sits within navy blue wave 3 in the higher degree structure.

It appears that orange wave 2 has concluded, and the market is now transitioning into orange wave 3 of 3. This wave is expected to drive further downside movement, continuing the bearish trend. Strong downward price action is likely before any potential reversal is considered.

The critical invalidation level for this wave count is 0.90367. A move above this level would invalidate the current wave analysis and might signal a shift in trend direction. Traders are encouraged to monitor orange wave 3 closely, as it may extend further within this bearish sequence.

This analysis highlights the significance of wave pattern identification for forecasting market behavior. The daily chart view provides a medium-term outlook and supports strategy development in line with the prevailing downward trend. Understanding wave relationships and degrees offers valuable insights for navigating strong directional markets.

USD/CHF Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Corrective.

  • Structure: Gray Wave 2.

  • Position: Orange Wave 3.

  • Next lower degree direction: Gray Wave 3.

  • Wave cancel invalid level: 0.90367.

The 4-hour Elliott Wave analysis for USDCHF offers a short-term technical view of the U.S. Dollar/Swiss Franc currency pair. It classifies the market phase as a counter-trend, reflecting corrective price action rather than a strong directional move. The analysis focuses on gray wave 2, situated within a broader structure marked by orange wave 3.

Evidence suggests that gray wave 1 has ended, with the market now engaged in gray wave 2. This wave is corrective in nature, implying it may result in sideways movement or a retracement before a new trend emerges. The next significant movement to anticipate is gray wave 3, which is expected to begin once gray wave 2 is complete.

The level of 0.90367 is the invalidation point. Should price move above this threshold, the current wave interpretation would be invalidated, indicating a possible shift in market conditions. Traders should track the progression of gray wave 2 carefully and stay alert for signs of gray wave 3's emergence.

This focused 4-hour chart review provides traders with a useful structure for understanding near-term price action. It aids in aligning short-term strategies with expected market shifts during this corrective phase. Recognizing wave completions and upcoming transitions helps traders make informed decisions and adapt to changing market dynamics efficiently.

Technical Analyst: Malik Awais.

USD/CHF Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD deflates to fresh lows, targets 1.1600

The selling pressure on EUR/USD now gathers extra pace, prompting the pair to hit fresh multi-week lows in the 1.1625-1.1620 band on Friday. The continuation of the downward bias comes in response to further gains in the US Dollar as market participants continue to assess the mixed release of US Nonfarm Payrolls in December.

GBP/USD breaks below 1.3400, challenges the 200-day SMA

GBP/USD remains under heavy fire and retreats for the fourth consecutive day on Friday. Indeed, Cable suffers the strong performance of the Greenback, intensified post-mixed NFP, and trades at shouting distance from its critical 200-day SMA near 1.3380.

Gold flirts with yearly tops around $4,500

Gold keeps its positive bias on Friday, adding to Thursday’s advance and challenging yearly highs in the $4,500 region per troy ounce. The risk-off sentiment favours the yellow metal despite the firmer tone in the Greenback and rising US Treasury yields.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP risk further decline as market fear persists amid slowing demand

Bitcoin holds $90,000 but stays below the 50-day EMA as institutional demand wanes. Ethereum steadies above $3,000 but remains structurally weak due to ETF outflows. XRP ETFs resume inflows, but the price struggles to gain ground above key support.

Week ahead – US CPI might challenge the geopolitics-boosted Dollar

Geopolitics may try to steal the limelight from US data. A possible US Supreme Court ruling on tariffs could dictate market movements. A crammed data calendar next week, US CPI comes on Tuesday; Fedspeak to intensify.

XRP trades under pressure amid weak retail demand

XRP presses down on the 50-day EMA support as risk-averse sentiment spreads despite a positive start to 2026. XRP faces declining retail demand, as reflected in futures Open Interest, which has fallen to $4.15 billion.