|

USD/CHF Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

USDCHF Elliott Wave Analysis – Trading Lounge.

U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc (USDCHF) – Day chart.

USD/CHF Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Corrective.

  • Structure: Orange Wave A.

  • Position: Navy Blue Wave 2.

  • Next higher degree direction: Orange Wave B.

  • Details: Navy Blue Wave 1 appears to be complete, with Orange Wave A of 2 currently in progress.

  • Wave cancel invalidation level: 0.83756.

Analysis overview

This analysis evaluates the USDCHF currency pair using Elliott Wave Theory on a daily chart. It emphasizes a counter-trend movement in corrective mode. The focus is on Orange Wave A, following the apparent completion of Navy Blue Wave 1.

The market is currently in Navy Blue Wave 2, representing a temporary pullback within the broader structure. This phase consolidates gains achieved during Navy Blue Wave 1. Once Orange Wave A concludes, Orange Wave B is anticipated as the next higher-degree corrective wave.

The invalidation level for the current wave structure is 0.83756. A price drop below this level invalidates the wave count and necessitates a reassessment of the market outlook and current analysis.

Summary

The daily chart analysis for USDCHF identifies a corrective phase, defined by Orange Wave A within Navy Blue Wave 2. The completion of Navy Blue Wave 1 marks the transition into this temporary pullback phase. The expected emergence of Orange Wave B suggests that the corrective trend will continue before a potential return to bullish momentum.

The invalidation level serves as a critical benchmark for managing risk and confirming the wave count. This structured analysis provides insights into the market’s counter-trend movements, helping traders monitor corrective developments and prepare for potential market shifts within the Elliott Wave framework.

USDCHF

USD/CHF – Four-hour chart.

USD/CHF Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Corrective.

  • Structure: Gray Wave 2.

  • Position: Orange Wave A.

  • Next lower degree direction: Gray Wave 3.

  • Details: Gray Wave 1 appears complete, and Gray Wave 2 is currently in progress.

  • Wave cancel invalidation level: 0.92031.

Analysis overview

This analysis examines the USDCHF currency pair using Elliott Wave Theory on a 4-hour chart, highlighting a counter-trend movement in corrective mode. The key structure being observed is Gray Wave 2, which began following the completion of Gray Wave 1, signaling a temporary corrective phase.

The pair is now within Orange Wave A, which represents the initial stage of Gray Wave 2. This phase reflects a pullback in the market, consolidating the gains made during Gray Wave 1. Once Gray Wave 2 concludes, Gray Wave 3 is expected to develop, potentially resuming the higher-degree trend with renewed bullish momentum.

The invalidation level for the current wave count is set at 0.92031. A decline below this level would invalidate the wave structure and necessitate a reevaluation of the market outlook.

Summary

The 4-hour chart analysis for USDCHF outlines a counter-trend corrective phase led by Gray Wave 2. Following the completion of Gray Wave 1, the active position in Orange Wave A suggests a temporary pullback. The anticipated development of Gray Wave 3 hints at the resumption of upward momentum.

The invalidation level serves as a crucial reference for managing risk and validating the wave count. This structured analysis provides traders with actionable insights into the ongoing corrective movement and helps them prepare for the next potential impulsive phase within the Elliott Wave framework.

USDCHF

USD/CHF Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold extends correction from record-high, trades below $4,400

Gold retreats sharply from the record-peak it set at $4,550 and trades below $4,400, losing more than 3% on the day. Growing optimism about a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement and profit-taking ahead of the New Year holiday seem to be causing XAU/USD to stay under heavy bearish pressure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).