|

USD/CHF Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

USDCHF Elliott Wave Analysis – Trading Lounge.

U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc (USDCHF) – Day chart.

USD/CHF Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Corrective.

  • Structure: Orange Wave A.

  • Position: Navy Blue Wave 2.

  • Next higher degree direction: Orange Wave B.

  • Details: Navy Blue Wave 1 appears to be complete, with Orange Wave A of 2 currently in progress.

  • Wave cancel invalidation level: 0.83756.

Analysis overview

This analysis evaluates the USDCHF currency pair using Elliott Wave Theory on a daily chart. It emphasizes a counter-trend movement in corrective mode. The focus is on Orange Wave A, following the apparent completion of Navy Blue Wave 1.

The market is currently in Navy Blue Wave 2, representing a temporary pullback within the broader structure. This phase consolidates gains achieved during Navy Blue Wave 1. Once Orange Wave A concludes, Orange Wave B is anticipated as the next higher-degree corrective wave.

The invalidation level for the current wave structure is 0.83756. A price drop below this level invalidates the wave count and necessitates a reassessment of the market outlook and current analysis.

Summary

The daily chart analysis for USDCHF identifies a corrective phase, defined by Orange Wave A within Navy Blue Wave 2. The completion of Navy Blue Wave 1 marks the transition into this temporary pullback phase. The expected emergence of Orange Wave B suggests that the corrective trend will continue before a potential return to bullish momentum.

The invalidation level serves as a critical benchmark for managing risk and confirming the wave count. This structured analysis provides insights into the market’s counter-trend movements, helping traders monitor corrective developments and prepare for potential market shifts within the Elliott Wave framework.

USDCHF

USD/CHF – Four-hour chart.

USD/CHF Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Corrective.

  • Structure: Gray Wave 2.

  • Position: Orange Wave A.

  • Next lower degree direction: Gray Wave 3.

  • Details: Gray Wave 1 appears complete, and Gray Wave 2 is currently in progress.

  • Wave cancel invalidation level: 0.92031.

Analysis overview

This analysis examines the USDCHF currency pair using Elliott Wave Theory on a 4-hour chart, highlighting a counter-trend movement in corrective mode. The key structure being observed is Gray Wave 2, which began following the completion of Gray Wave 1, signaling a temporary corrective phase.

The pair is now within Orange Wave A, which represents the initial stage of Gray Wave 2. This phase reflects a pullback in the market, consolidating the gains made during Gray Wave 1. Once Gray Wave 2 concludes, Gray Wave 3 is expected to develop, potentially resuming the higher-degree trend with renewed bullish momentum.

The invalidation level for the current wave count is set at 0.92031. A decline below this level would invalidate the wave structure and necessitate a reevaluation of the market outlook.

Summary

The 4-hour chart analysis for USDCHF outlines a counter-trend corrective phase led by Gray Wave 2. Following the completion of Gray Wave 1, the active position in Orange Wave A suggests a temporary pullback. The anticipated development of Gray Wave 3 hints at the resumption of upward momentum.

The invalidation level serves as a crucial reference for managing risk and validating the wave count. This structured analysis provides traders with actionable insights into the ongoing corrective movement and helps them prepare for the next potential impulsive phase within the Elliott Wave framework.

USDCHF

USD/CHF Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases to near 1.1650, eyes US PCE for fresh impetus

EUR/USD turns south to test 1.1650 in European trading on Friday, facing rejection once again near seven-week highs. The pair, however, continues to draw support from persistent US Dollar selling bias, despite a cautious market mood. Traders now await the US September PCE inflation and UoM Consumer Sentiment data. 

GBP/USD holds gains near 1.3350 ahead of US data

GBP/USD sticks to a positive bias near 1.3350 in the European session on Friday. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key US inflation and sentiment data due later in the day. In the meantime, broad-based US Dollar weakness helps the pair stay afloat. 

Gold remains below $4,250 barrier as traders await US PCE data for directional impetus

Gold gains some positive traction on Friday, though it remains confined in the weekly range. Dovish Fed expectations continue to undermine the USD and lend support to the commodity. Bulls, however, might opt to wait for the US PCE Price Index before placing aggressive bets.

UoM Consumer Sentiment Index expected to post a mild recovery in December

December’s preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is forecast to have picked up to 52 from a three-year low of 51.0 in November. A stalled labour market and higher price pressures are likely to weigh on consumers’ confidence.

Canada Unemployment Rate expected to edge higher in November ahead of BoC rate decision

Statistics Canada will release its Labour Force Survey on Friday, and markets are bracing for a weak print. The Unemployment Rate is expected to tick higher to 7% in November, while the Employment Change is forecast to come in flat after a nice gain in October.

Pi Network Price Forecast: Bearish streak nears critical support trendline

Pi Network (PI) edges lower on Friday for the third consecutive day, approaching a local support trendline. The on-chain data suggests an increase in supply pressure as Centralized Exchanges (CEXs) experience a surge in inflows.