|

Silver at $100. Gold near $5,000 – The year of hard assets is officially here

Only three weeks into 2026, global Commodity markets are delivering a decisive verdict. What analysts at The Gold & Silver Club formally declared months ago – “2026 will be the Year of Hard Assets” – has crystallized into the defining macro theme of the year.

Across exchanges from London to Shanghai and Chicago to Dubai, capital is rotating with force. Liquidity is flowing out of stretched Equity valuations and depreciating currencies and into tangible assets whose scarcity can no longer be ignored. The result is a synchronised surge across both precious and industrial metals that is reshaping global portfolios in real time.

The opening weeks of the year have already delivered a watershed moment. Silver has surged through $100 an ounce for the first time in history, while Gold has advanced to within striking distance of $5,000.

Gold has now notched successive record highs in 2026, extending a run that sees the yellow metal outperform the S&P 500 for six consecutive months – the longest such stretch since the Global Financial Crisis in 2008. According to Lars Hansen, Head of Research at The Gold & Silver Club, “Gold is now the best-performing major asset of the 2020s, outperforming equities, real estate and bonds on an annualised basis.”

Silver, however, is where the move turns explosive.

The Gold-to-Silver ratio has plunged towards 50, its lowest level in roughly 14 years, after trading above 100 as recently as 2025. The implications are profound.

Gold’s rally – up nearly 90% in just 13 months – already rivals the early stages of the 1970s Supercycle. Silver’s ascent has been even more dramatic: prices above $101 represent gains of more than 43% year-to-date and an astonishing 248% in just over a year.

As Hansen observes, “Silver’s market capitalization has now crossed $5 trillion – overtaking the entire U.S bond market and eclipsing Germany’s equity market.” Once dismissed as the more volatile sibling to Gold, Silver has become the fulcrum of the hard-asset trade.

This is no longer a two-metal story. Uranium has reached its highest level since mid-2024. Copper, Aluminium, Nickel, Zinc, Platinum, Palladium and Tin have all pushed to multi-year, decade or all-time record highs. Across 47 listed Commodities, 38 are positive year-to-date, with more than two dozen now within striking distance of fresh all-time highs.

This marks the broadest synchronized Commodity breakout since the post-crisis renaissance of 2009 and in several cases, a stronger one.

The Gold & Silver Club has long argued that aggressive fiscal expansion, tightening supply chains and increasingly weaponized trade policy would collide. That thesis is now visible on trading screens worldwide. As Bank of America once put it, “all commodity charts will eventually look like Gold.” In early 2026, they already do.

“Liquidity is rising, purchasing power is eroding and scarcity is being repriced in real time,” Hansen says. Against that backdrop, The Gold & Silver Club has lifted its official targets to $5,300 an ounce for Gold and $125 an ounce for Silver in Q1, 2026 – a stance it describes as a conservative base case.

Major Banks are converging on similar conclusions and upgrading their 2026 precious metals forecasts. Goldman Sachs, UBS and Bank of America now see upside scenarios extending towards $5,700 for Gold and $130 – $150 for Silver. JPMorgan has gone further, floating projections as high as $8,000 for Gold by 2028 as portfolios rebalance into physical assets.

What distinguishes The Gold & Silver Club from consensus is not merely bullish positioning, but a consistent record of spotting regime shifts years before they become headline narrative. “We didn’t just predict the rally – we named it,” Hansen says. “History rewards early positioning, not hesitation.”

As 2026 accelerates, the conclusion is becoming unavoidable. The hard-asset cycle is no longer forming; it is underway. For traders still waiting for Confirmation, the cost of delay may prove to be the most expensive trade of the decade.

Where are prices heading next? Watch The Commodity Report now, for my latest price forecasts and predictions:

Youtube preview

Author

Phil Carr

Phil Carr

The Gold & Silver Club

Phil is the co-founder and Head of Trading at The Gold & Silver Club, an international Commodities Trading Firm specializing in Metals, Energies and Soft Commodities.

More from Phil Carr
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hangs near three-week low, below 0.6950 as traders await US NFP report

AUD/USD hits a three-week low during the Asian session on Friday as the RBA’s dovish shift and a rout in equity markets weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, the recent slump in US bond yields to a two-month low keeps US Dollar bulls on the back foot and limits losses for the currency pair as traders look to the US NFP report for a fresh impetus.

USD/JPY bounces off three-week low; keeps the red near 157.65 as focus remains on US NFP

USD/JPY bounces off the weekly low set during the Asian session, as bears turn cautious ahead of the US NFP report due later this Friday. The upside seems limited as the recent slump in US bond yields and hopes of Iran war de-escalation undermine the US Dollar. Moreover, a hawkish BoJ and intervention risks support the Japanese Yen, capping the pair.

Gold loses the grip; $4,000 comes next on the downside

Gold sets aside two daily advances in a row on Friday, opening the door to a potential test of the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal’s retracement follows a decent improvement in the sentiment surrounding the US Dollar, solid NFP data and higher US Treasury yields across the board.

Democrats win House and Senate in US midterms: Why isn’t all bad news for crypto

The biggest story this week was Tuesday’s US midterm elections, which saw Democrats win control of both the House and the Senate in a clear blue wave. This political shift in the US has triggered sharp price swings across the cryptocurrency market.

Week ahead – Inflation and geopolitics in focus as US political landscape shifts

Post-midterm election euphoria fizzles out as risk aversion prevails. US CPI, PPI and Fedspeak on the radar as Fed hike bets remain supported. Oil retreat pauses on mixed hopes about the ongoing conflicts.

US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress
The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.