|

Markets Anticipate The FOMC Statement

The EUR/USD keeps rising ahead of the FOMC statement on the US monetary policy, that will be published at 19:00 GMT. It is highly anticipated that the regulator will maintain monetary policy settings at the current level. This will be the last FOMC meeting for Janet Yellen as head of the Fed and the next chairman Jerome Powell is also likely to maintain the current course aimed at a gradual increase of interest rates which is likely to put pressure on the EUR/USD quotes this year.

Today, the common currency got its boost from positive data releases from the Eurozone. Unemployment in the monetary union remained at 8.7% in December and consumer inflation was 1.3% for January which was in line with expectations. Core consumer inflation increased to 1.0% in January against 0.9% in December.

The USD/CAD resumed negative dynamics amid the greenback’s weakening. At the same time, the Canadian GDP increased in November to 0.4%, which met analysts’ forecasts. Some support for the Canadian currency also came from the increase in crude oil prices that traditionally have an influence on the course of USD/CAD trading.

The aussie quotes today were also restoring positions and approached local highs. The mood of traders tonight may be influenced by the manufacturing index calculated by AIG at 23:30 GMT and building approvals at 00:30 GMT.

Volatility is likely to remain high due to the release of important US labour market data on Friday.

EUR/USD

The EUR/USD resumed positive dynamics after it was not able to fix below 1.2400. The RSI on the 15-minute chart is near the overbought zone which points to a possible price rollback soon. Currently, the closest resistance is located at the psychologically important 1.2500 mark. In order to change the current positive trend to negative, the price needs to break through the support at 1.2300.

USD/CAD

The USD/CAD is falling within the limits of the local descending channel and in case of the price breaking through the nearest support level at 1.2235, the immediate targets will be 1.2150 and 1.2000. The RSI on the 15-minute chart is currently near the oversold zone, which hints at a possible price rebound and the closest targets in this case will be at 1.2365 and 1.2400.

AUD/USD

The AUD/USD price approached strong resistance at 0.8125 and its overcoming is likely to open the way for continued price increases to 0.8200 and 0.8250. On the other hand, breaking through the lower boundary of the rising channel and the local low at 0.8050, may become the signal for the trend to change to negative with the nearest targets at 0.7900 and 0.7800.

Author

OctaFx Analyst Team

OctaFX is a market-leading forex broker, providing personalised forex brokerage services to customers in over 100 countries worldwide.

More from OctaFx Analyst Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD falls to near 1.1700 due to safe-haven demand

EUR/USD extends its losses, trading around 1.1710 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair loses ground as the US Dollar strengthens on safe-haven demand, driven by a renewed rise in geopolitical risks following the United States’ capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro.

GBP/USD trades with modest losses below mid-1.3400s as geopolitical tensions lift USD

The GBP/USD pair opens with a modest bearish gap at the start of a new week and trades just below mid-1.3400s during the Asian session, down 0.10% for the day. Spot prices, however, lack follow-through selling and manage to hold above last week's swing low amid mixed fundamental cues.

Gold jumps over 1.5% to near $4,400 on US-Venezuela tensions

Gold holds sizeable gains near $4,400 in the Asian trading hours on Monday. The traditional safe-haven metal capitalizes on escalating geopolitical risks after the United States' capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. Traders will closely monitor developments surrounding the US seizure of Maduro and await the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index data later on Monday. 

Powerful guide to ISM, building permits, NFP and Silver technicals

Next week is important for U.S. markets. We get key economic data that can move stocks, bonds, and the dollar. The main reports are ISM Manufacturing, ISM Services, Building Permits, and Non-Farm Payrolls. Traders will watch these closely.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).