Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD jumps above range on falling yields, eyes $1820

Matías Salord FXStreet

XAU/USD Current price: $1,806.44

US Treasury yields fall sharply after US inflation data on Tuesday.
A mixed US dollar and risk aversion keeps gold limited to the upside.
XAU/USD short-term outlook is now bullish while above $1,803.

Gold prices are rising on Tuesday, after rebounding from monthly lows boosted by a slide in US yields. The ounce is up by 0.70% and reached at $1,808.65, the highest level in a week. From the top, it pulled back modestly, holding so far above $1,800. Silver is also recovering, gaining 0.45%. At the same time, the DXY falls 0.10% but is off lows.

The key event on Tuesday was the US inflation report. The Consumer Price Index rose in August 0.3%, below the 0.4% expected. Also, core inflation rose below market consensus. The numbers activated a sell-off in bonds ahead of next week’s FOMC meeting. The 10-year yield dropped from 1.35% to 1.26%, hitting the lowest intraday level since August 24. More US data will be released during the week, including retail sales that will continue to affect market expectations about what the Fed might announce.

Gold price short-term technical outlook

Gold broke the $1,795 area and jumped above $1,800. It is hovering around a resistance area at $1,809 with the positive momentum intact. A break above $1,810 should lead to more gains in the short term. The critical resistance above continues to be the monthly high around $1,833. If the yellow metal breaks the mentioned area, the next target is seen at $1,850.

A retreat below $1,795 in XAU/USD would put the price back into the previous range between $1,780 and $1,800, and the downside risks would increase. There is an intermediate support around $1,790, and then comes the lower bound of the range at $1,780 that is the critical support. If the support area around $1,780 gives up, it could spark volatility and a quick slide to test the next support at $1,770.

Support levels: 1,798 1,780.00 1,769.50 1,760.00 1,747.00

Resistance levels: 1,809.60 1,820.00 1,833.50

View Live Chart for the XAU/USD

Author

Matías Salord

FXStreet

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

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