|

GBP/USD outlook: Pullback finds footstep at key supports ahead of Fed/BoE rate decisions

GBP/USD

Cable bounced from new three-week low (1.3415), hit after Tuesday’s 1.2% drop, boosted by weaker than expected UK inflation in May.
Weaker dollar also helps Wednesday’s recovery, as markets await Fed’s decision today and BOE’s monetary policy meeting (Thursday).

Both central banks are widely expected to hold rates this time, with market focus on signals from projections for the rest of the year.

Near-term structure weakened after Tuesday’s close below 10/20DMA’s and probe through pivotal support at 1.3444 (Fibo 38.2% of 1.3195/1.3632, also the floor of recent range) though close below this level is needed to validate negative signal and open way for deeper pullback.

On the other hand, recovery needs to regain 1.3500/15 barriers (psychological / 20DMA / 50% retracement of 1.3632/1.3415) to sideline existing downside risk and shift focus to the upside (1.3550; 1.3595; 1.3616).

Res: 1.3515; 1.3550; 1.3595; 1.3616.
Sup: 1.3415; 1.3400; 1.3377; 1.3321.

GBPUSD

Interested in GBP/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 1.3702
    2. R2 1.3641
    3. R1 1.3537
  1. PP 1.3476
    1. S1 1.3372
    2. S2 1.3311
    3. S3 1.3207

Updated Jun 17, 00:00 GMTSee Full Study

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles to build on recent rebound, holds above 1.1550

EUR/USD  trades marginally lower on the day but manages to hold above 1.1550 in the American session, following Thursday's rebound. The pair edges down as the US Dollar rebounds slightly as investors cling to a cautious stance amid mixed headlines surrounding the conflict in the Middle East.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3400 as USD recovers

GBP/USD stays under modest bearish pressure and trades slightly below 1.3400 in the second half of the day on Friday. The renewed USD strength doesn't allow the pair to gain traction as investors adopt a cautious stance while awaiting headlines surrounding the US-Iran war.

Gold retreats from session-high, tests $4,200

After rising more than 3% on Thursday, Gold (XAU/USD) continued to edge higher but failed to gather momentum on Friday, returning to $4,200 region in the American session. The US Dollar rebounds following the recent selloff as investors remain sceptical about a resolution in the Middle East conflict, capping XAU/USD's upside.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP recovery slows amid incessant capital outflows

The cryptocurrency remains in a broader corrective bias on Friday, despite majors such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) holding slightly higher than early-week support levels.

The US economy has defied the Iran war so far: Can it last?

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.

4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.