|

GBP/USD analysis: Pound under pressure ahead of UK employment data

GBP/USD Current price: 1.2750

  • UK employment data expected to show that healthy growth persisted.
  • GBP/USD confined to yearly lows, Pound undermined by fears of a no-deal Brexit.

The GBP/USD pair traded at the lower end of Friday's range ending this Monday lower, not far from the yearly low set last week at 1.2722. The Pound had little life of its own, ahead of multiple key UK releases to be out the next couple of days, and starting this Tuesday with the latest employment figures. The ILO unemployment rate for the three months to June is expected to remain steady at 4.2%, while the number of unemployed people seeking unemployment benefits is expected to have increased by 3.8K in July. The number of people in jobs in the UK reached a record high of 32.4 million people working according to the report for the three months to May,  with the employment rate up to 75.7%. Positive figures are unlikely to offset the negative sentiment toward the Pound on increased fears of a no-deal Brexit but could give the GBP/USD a temporal boost. In the meantime, the dollar remains strong against its high-yielding rivals, and the pair looking bearish short-term, as in the 4 hours chart the price remains well below a firmly bearish 20 SMA, while technical indicators remain within negative levels, with the Momentum flat amid the limited intraday range and the RSI resuming its decline after correcting extreme oversold readings. 

Support levels: 1.2720 1.2680 1.2645                                                                                       

Resistance levels: 1.2795 1.2830 1.2865  

View Live Chart for the GBP/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD falls to near 0.7100 after slipping below 50-day EMA

AUD/USD depreciates after registering minor gains in the previous day, trading around 0.7120 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows the pair consolidating sideways within a rectangle pattern, as neither bulls nor bears gain control. The AUD/USD pair is holding a slight bearish tone however as it sits beneath both the nine-day and 50-day EMAs.

160.00: USD/JPY back near intervention territory after upbeat US jobs report

US Nonfarm Payrolls beat expectations by a wide margin in May, with 172K jobs added. The US Dollar rebounds after the release, helping USD/JPY recover from its intraday lows. Warnings from Japanese authorities continue to limit upside potential near the 160.00 threshold.

Gold targets $4,300 amid stronger Dollar

Gold faces increasing selling interest and navigates the area of three-month lows near the $4,300 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal’s decline comes as traders assess the stronger-than-expected NFP, while the bid bias in the Greenback and higher US Treasury yields also collaborate with the retracement.

Cardano hits five-year low even as Hoskinson clarifies "break" isn't an exit

Cardano (ADA) price is down 10% at press time on Friday, extending losses over 30% so far this week amid Charles Hoskinson's clarification that "break" isn't an exit.

Week ahead – Fed countdown begins amid US inflation data and geopolitical risks

Fed Chair Warsh’s first meeting approaches as key US inflation data could reshape expectations. Oil prices remain elevated as US-Iran talks continue; tariffs also return to the spotlight. ECB is expected to hike; will it be a one-off move or is July live?

The US economy defies the rules: 100 days into the Oil shock and the recession signal is still missing

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.