|

GBP/USD analysis: agreement on softer Brexit pushed the Pound higher

GBP/USD Current price: 1.3286

  • UK Cabinet came to an agreement on a softer Brexit strategy on future trade relationship.
  • USD weakness added to GBP/USD short-term bullish case, 1.3310 region now key.

The GBP/USD pair closed the week with gains at 1.3286, just a handful of pips below the previous week's high, with the Pound finding demand on the back of better-than-expected UK data released through the week and a softer dollar, dumped on fears that the trade war will end up hurting US economic growth. Late Friday, news indicated that the UK Cabinet agreed with PM May's plan about the future trade relationship with the EU, an agreement that contemplates creating a free trade area for industrial and agricultural goods, "regulatory flexibility" for trade in services, and a "mobility framework" which will ensure citizens from both regions can continue to travel to each other's territories and apply for study and work. Boris Johnson strongly disagreed with the plan, saying that it would leave the UK as a "vassal state," among other strong comments. Indeed, the proposal from Mrs. May points for a softer-Brexit that needs yet the approval of the EU officers. The pair has been unable to clearly advance beyond 1.3300 for the last three weeks, and bulls could feel encouraged on a break above the level, although the pair should sustain gains beyond 1.3450 to actually enter bullish territory. Readings in the daily chart favor additional gains, as the pair ended well above a mild bearish 20 SMA, while technical indicators head north within positive territory, at their highest since last April. In the 4 hours chart, a bullish 20 SMA keeps leading the way higher, attracting buyers on intraday pullbacks, while technical indicators also maintain their bullish slopes, but below this month highs. The 200 EMA in this last time frame comes at 1.3310, while a relevant high is located at 1.3314, making of the 1.3310 an immediate and strong resistance.

Support levels: 1.3250 1.3210 1.3170

Resistance levels:  1.3315 1.3350 1.3390

View Live Chart for the GBP/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles near 1.1850, with all eyes on US CPI data

EUR/USD holds losses while keeping its range near 1.1850 in European trading on Friday. A broadly cautious market environment paired with a steady US Dollar undermines the pair ahead of the critical US CPI data. Meanwhile, the Eurozone Q4 GDP second estimate has little to no impact on the Euro. 

GBP/USD recovers above 1.3600, awaits US CPI for fresh impetus

GBP/USD recovers some ground above 1.3600 in the European session on Friday, though it lacks bullish conviction. The US Dollar remains supported amid a softer risk tone and ahead of the US consumer inflation figures due later in the NA session on Friday. 

Gold remains below $5,000 as US inflation report looms

Gold retreats from the vicinity of the $5,000 psychological mark, though sticks to its modest intraday gains in the European session. Traders now look forward to the release of the US consumer inflation figures for more cues about the Fed policy path. The outlook will play a key role in influencing the near-term US Dollar price dynamics and provide some meaningful impetus to the non-yielding bullion.

US CPI data set to show modest inflation cooling as markets price in a more hawkish Fed

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish January’s Consumer Price Index data on Friday, delayed by the brief and partial United States government shutdown. The report is expected to show that inflationary pressures eased modestly but also remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

The weekender: When software turns the blade on itself

Autonomous AI does not just threaten trucking companies and call centers. It challenges the cognitive toll booths that legacy software has charged for decades. This is not a forecast. No one truly knows the end state of AI.

Solana Price Forecast: Mixed market sentiment caps recovery

Solana (SOL) is trading at $79 as of Friday, following a correction of over 9% so far this week. On-chain and derivatives data indicates mixed sentiment among traders, further limiting the chances of a price recovery.