|

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Bulls paused, sellers nowhere to be found

EUR/USD Current price: 1.1592

  • Markets stabilised after becoming more confident about the Middle East ceasefire.
  • Federal Reserve Chair Powell will testify before Congress for a second consecutive day.
  • The EUR/USD eases from its recent peaks, but bulls remain in control.

The EUR/USD pair trades just below the 1.1600 mark, giving up some of its recent gains as financial markets seem more stable on Wednesday, while maintaining the upbeat mood. The Middle East ceasefire remains in place, supporting the market’s optimism.

Other than that, speculative interest keeps its eyes on central banks’ officials and their assessments of the current and future economic situation. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell testified on Tuesday about monetary policy before Congress, repeating his appearance today before a different commission.

As usual, Powell maintained his stance. The head of the Fed repeated the well-known message that policymakers are concerned about the potential impact of tariffs on inflation, hence, they will maintain their cautious approach to interest rate cuts. Regarding the Middle East crisis, Powell said that it was too early to consider it.

Data-wise, the macroeconomic calendar is scarce. The Eurozone did not publish relevant figures, while the American session will bring the United States (US) May New Home Sales.

As a note of colour, US President Donald Trump shifted his focus to the Russia-Ukraine war. Trump said that after long talks with the Russian leader, Vladimir Putin, he will now speak with his Ukrainian counterpart, Volodymyr Zelenskyy-

EUR/USD short-term technical outlook

The daily chart for the EUR/USD pair shows it consolidates near its recent 2025 peak at 1.1642, barely losing ground. Technical indicators ease within positive levels, far from suggesting a steeper decline ahead. At the same time, the pair remains well above bullish moving averages, with the 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) far above the longer ones while providing dynamic support at around 1.1470. Overall, it seems buyers paused while sellers remain sidelined.

The near-term picture is quite similar. In the 4-hour chart, technical indicators stabilised well above their midlines after correcting overbought conditions. At the same time, EUR/USD is well above a still bullish 20 SMA, the latter around 1.1560. Finally, the longer moving averages maintain their upward slopes below the shorter one, reflecting buyers retain control despite the ongoing pause.

Support levels: 1.1560 1.1510 1.1470

Resistance levels: 1.1645 1.1690 1.1730

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD softens below 1.1750 after Fed Minutes

The EUR/USD pair attracts some sellers near 1.1745 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar edges higher against the Euro after the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve's December meeting. The US Initial Jobless Claims report will be released later in the day. Trading volumes are expected to remain thin ahead of the New Year holidays.

GBP/USD trades flat above 1.3450 amid thin trading volume

The GBP/USD pair holds steady around 1.3465 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. However, the Bank of England guided that monetary policy will remain on a gradual downward path, which might underpin the Cable against the US Dollar. Financial markets are expected to trade on thin volumes as traders prepare for the New Year holiday.

Gold attempts another run toward $4,400 on final day of 2025

Gold price makes another attempt toward $4,400 in Asian trading on Tuesday, keeping the recovery mode intact following Monday's over 4% correction. The bright metal seems to cheer upbeat Chinese NBS and RatingDog Manufacturing and Services PMI data for December. 

When the tape goes quiet the positioning speaks

From the outside this session looked like paint drying. Indexes barely moved. No reaction to Case Shiller. No reaction to the Fed minutes. The S&P 500 parked itself right where it started, and the much-discussed Santa rally stalled into a polite cough.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).