|premium|

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Bulls paused, sellers nowhere to be found

EUR/USD Current price: 1.1592

  • Markets stabilised after becoming more confident about the Middle East ceasefire.
  • Federal Reserve Chair Powell will testify before Congress for a second consecutive day.
  • The EUR/USD eases from its recent peaks, but bulls remain in control.

The EUR/USD pair trades just below the 1.1600 mark, giving up some of its recent gains as financial markets seem more stable on Wednesday, while maintaining the upbeat mood. The Middle East ceasefire remains in place, supporting the market’s optimism.

Other than that, speculative interest keeps its eyes on central banks’ officials and their assessments of the current and future economic situation. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell testified on Tuesday about monetary policy before Congress, repeating his appearance today before a different commission.

As usual, Powell maintained his stance. The head of the Fed repeated the well-known message that policymakers are concerned about the potential impact of tariffs on inflation, hence, they will maintain their cautious approach to interest rate cuts. Regarding the Middle East crisis, Powell said that it was too early to consider it.

Data-wise, the macroeconomic calendar is scarce. The Eurozone did not publish relevant figures, while the American session will bring the United States (US) May New Home Sales.

As a note of colour, US President Donald Trump shifted his focus to the Russia-Ukraine war. Trump said that after long talks with the Russian leader, Vladimir Putin, he will now speak with his Ukrainian counterpart, Volodymyr Zelenskyy-

EUR/USD short-term technical outlook

The daily chart for the EUR/USD pair shows it consolidates near its recent 2025 peak at 1.1642, barely losing ground. Technical indicators ease within positive levels, far from suggesting a steeper decline ahead. At the same time, the pair remains well above bullish moving averages, with the 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) far above the longer ones while providing dynamic support at around 1.1470. Overall, it seems buyers paused while sellers remain sidelined.

The near-term picture is quite similar. In the 4-hour chart, technical indicators stabilised well above their midlines after correcting overbought conditions. At the same time, EUR/USD is well above a still bullish 20 SMA, the latter around 1.1560. Finally, the longer moving averages maintain their upward slopes below the shorter one, reflecting buyers retain control despite the ongoing pause.

Support levels: 1.1560 1.1510 1.1470

Resistance levels: 1.1645 1.1690 1.1730

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with weekly lows near 1.1770

EUR/USD now comes under further selling pressure, breaking below the 1.1800 support to challenge the area of weekly throughs near 1.1770 on Thursday. The pair’s decline comes in response to marked gains in the US Dollar amid steady geopolitical tensions. Ealier in the day, the ECB’s Lagarde delivered cautious remarks, although the currency remained apathetic.

GBP/USD threatens the 200-day SMA near 1.3440

GBP/USD rapidly leaves behind Wednesday’s strong advance, coming under heavy pressure and retesting the 1.3440 zone, where the critical 200-day SMA is located. Cable’s deep pullback follows the strong gains in the Greenback, while investors continue to pencil in a potential BoE rate cut in March.

Gold trims gains, slips back to around $5,170

Gold is now facing some downside pressure, hovering around the $5,170 region on Thursday. The yellow metal surrenders part of its earlier gains on the back of the resurgence of the buying interest in the Greenback. In the meantime, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to limit the downside potential for now.

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Bitcoin steadies as traders eye US–Iran talks

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Thursday after a 6.2% relief rally the previous day amid a broader downward trend.