Yann Quelenn
Swissquote Bank Ltd
USD/CHF
False breakout of support at 0.9814.
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USD/CHF continues to push lower after failing to break resistance given at 1.0107 (10/04/2017 high). Support located at 0.9814 (27/03/2017 low) has been broken but the pair has failed to hold below it. Expected to continue going lower.
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In the long-term, the pair is still trading in range since 2011 despite some turmoil when the SNB unpegged the CHF. Key support can be found 0.8986 (30/01/2015 low). The technical structure favours nonetheless a long term bullish bias since the unpeg in January 2015.
USD/CAD
Continued weakness.
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USD/CAD is declining declined after failing to reach 1.3800 before bouncing back. Hourly support can be found at 1.3411 (24/04/2017 high) then 1.3353 (20/01/2017 high). Expected to show continued bearish pressures.
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In the longer term, there is a golden cross with the 50 dma crossing the 200 dma indicating further upside pressures. Strong resistance is given at 1.4690 (22/01/2016 high). Long-term support can be found at 1.2461 (16/03/2015 low).
AUD/USD
Riding symmetrical triangle.
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AUD/USD is pushing higher since the pair monitored support at 0.7329 (09/05/2017 low). As long as prices remain below the resistance at 0.7608 (17/04/2017 high), the short-term technical structure is negative. Expected to show renewed weakness.
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In the long-term, we are waiting for further signs that the current downtrend is ending. Key supports stand at 0.6009 (31/10/2008 low) . A break of the key resistance at 0.8295 (15/01/2015 high) is needed to invalidate our long-term bearish view.
This report has been prepared by Swissquote Bank Ltd and is solely been published for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any currency or any other financial instrument. Views expressed in this report may be subject to change without prior notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by Swissquote Bank Ltd personnel at any given time. Swissquote Bank Ltd is under no obligation to update or keep current the information herein, the report should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment.
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