AUD/USD – Australian dollar flat despite strong business confidence report

AUD/USD is showing little movement in the Tuesday session. In North American trade, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6955, down 0.07% on the day. On the release front, Australian NAB Business Confidence junped to 7, after two straight readings at zero. It was the indicator’s strongest showing in 10 months. Later in the day, Australia releases Westpac Consumer Sentiment. In the U.S., producer price index reports matched their estimates. PPI dipped 0.1%, down from 0.2% a month earlier. Core PPI edged up 0.2%, up from 0.1% in the previous release. Wednesday will be busy.

The Australian business sector appears in a buoyant move, according to the latest NAB business confidence survey. The indicator climbed to 7 in May. The business sector was pleased with the unexpected victory of the conservative coalition in the general election last month, as the conservatives are considered more pro-business. Will the Westpac consumer confidence survey follow suit? If so, the Aussie could gain ground.

There were fears that President Trump would slap Mexico with new tariffs, opening up another trade war front. The tariffs were set to take effect on Monday, but the U.S. suspended the tariffs, after high level talks helped defuse the latest crisis. As well, G-20 finance ministers agreed on a joint communique to reduce trade tensions. With President Trump and President Xi of China meeting at the G-20 summit in Japan in late June, we could see progress in the bitter trade dispute between the world’s two largest economies.

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AUD/USD Fundamentals

Monday (June 10)

• 21:30 Australian NAB Business Confidence. Actual 7

Tuesday (June 11)

• 5:16 US NFIB Small Business Index. Estimate 102.3. Actual 105.0

• 8:30 US Core PPI. Estimate 0.2%. Actual 0.2%

• 8:30 US PPI. Estimate 0.1%. Actual 0.1%

• 19:25 RBA Assistant Governor Kent Speaks

• 20:30 Australian Westpac Consumer Sentiment

Wednesday (June 12)

• 8:30 US CPI. Estimate 0.1%

• 8:30 US Core CPI. Estimate 0.2%

• 21:00 MI Inflation Expectations

• 21:30 Australian Employment Change. Estimate 16.0K

• 21:30 Australian Unemployment Rate. Estimate 5.1%

Open: 0.6961 High: 0.6967 Low: 0.6947 Close: 0.6955

AUD/USD Technical

AUD/USD showed limited movement in the Asian and European sessions. The pair has posted small gains in North American trade

• 0.6825 is providing support

• 0.6968 is a weak resistance line

• Current range: 0.6825 to 0.6968

Further levels in both directions:

• Below: 0.6825, 0.6744 and 0.6686

• Above: 0.6968, 0.7085, 0.7190 and 0.7240