|

AUD/USD analysis: waiting for dovish RBA Meeting's Minutes

AUD/USD Current price: 0.7419

  • Market has already priced in a soft stance from Governor Lowe & Co.
  • The sour tone of commodities weighed on the Aussie.

The AUD/USD pair hovered around 0.7420, unable to find direction and as many of its counterparts, spent the day in a very limited range. The pair peaked at 0.7441 at the beginning of the day, as there was some follow-through to Friday dollar's selling,  but mixed Chinese data and the sour tone of commodities capped the upside for the Aussie. According to the official releases, Chinese GDP was up in the second quarter of the year 1.8%, beating expectations of 1.6%. The yearly reading came as expected at 6.7%, below the previous 6.8%. Also coming from China, Retail Sales grew 9.0% in June, in line with market's forecast, while May Industrial Production posted a 6.0% increase, missing expectations of 6.5%. The Reserve Bank of Australia will release the Minutes of the latest meeting during the upcoming Asian session. On that meeting, the RBA removed the removed warnings about the strength of the local currency, and for a second consecutive meeting, skipped the line indicating that the next move will rather be up than down." The central bank also expressed its concerns about global trade woes that can affect local economic growth, so investors are heading into the event expecting a dovish stance. Meanwhile, the pair maintains a short-term neutral stance, as in the 4 hours chart, is trading above directionless 20 and 100 SMA, while below a slightly bearish 200 SMA, as technical indicators erased their early gains and hover now around their midlines.

Support levels: 0.7400 0.7370 0.7330  

Resistance levels: 0.7450 0.7490 0.7520

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.