|

AUD/USD analysis: Chinese woes weighed on the Aussie

AUD/USD Current price: 0.7233

  • Chinese data came in below expectations, hurting Aussie demand even further.
  • AUD/USD to challenge the 0.7200 figure if US Retail Sales beat expectations.

The AUD/USD pair fell to a fresh yearly low of 0.7223 to settle a few pips above this last, with the Aussie undermined by poor Australian and Chinese data released at the beginning of the day, which offset the improved market mood. Australia released the NAB's index on Business Confidence for July which advanced to 7 from the previous 6, although Business Conditions index missed market's expectations, down to 12 for the month from the previous 14. The biggest disappointment, however, came from China, as July Retail Sales rose by less-than-expected, up 8.8% YoY, while Industrial Production in the same month grew 6.0%, matching June's reading but missing market's forecast of 6.3%.  The macroeconomic calendar will remain empty in Asia, which may result in the pair consolidating around the current level ahead of US data. The pair is bearish short-term and according to technical readings in the 4 hours chart, as it keeps developing below a firmly bearish 20 SMA, while technical indicators resumed their declines within negative territory after correcting oversold conditions. The RSI is back in extreme levels, but with no signs of changing course and still above this month lows, leaving doors open for additional declines.  

Support levels: 0.7250 0.7215 0.7180

Resistance levels: 0.7290 0.7320 0.7360  

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.